Trader consensus prices 70–75% turnout at 73.6% for Slovenia's March 22, 2026, National Assembly election under proportional representation, reflecting preliminary figures reported near 70% amid a fiercely contested race between Prime Minister Robert Golob's centre-left Freedom Movement and Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party. This aligns closely with the 2022 election's official 69.7% turnout, boosted by high-stakes dynamics including coalition uncertainty and voter mobilization efforts. The 65–70% outcome holds 25.5% implied probability, accounting for potential adjustments in final counts excluding mail-in ballots, while lower brackets see negligible volume. Official turnout confirmation from the National Electoral Commission remains pending, with historical patterns favoring the mid-70s range in competitive parliamentary votes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTurnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election
Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election
70–75% 73.4%
65–70% 26%
<60% <1%
60–65% <1%
$92,259 Vol.
$92,259 Vol.
<60%
<1%
60–65%
<1%
65–70%
26%
70–75%
73%
75%+
<1%
70–75% 73.4%
65–70% 26%
<60% <1%
60–65% <1%
$92,259 Vol.
$92,259 Vol.
<60%
<1%
60–65%
<1%
65–70%
26%
70–75%
73%
75%+
<1%
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 11:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices 70–75% turnout at 73.6% for Slovenia's March 22, 2026, National Assembly election under proportional representation, reflecting preliminary figures reported near 70% amid a fiercely contested race between Prime Minister Robert Golob's centre-left Freedom Movement and Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party. This aligns closely with the 2022 election's official 69.7% turnout, boosted by high-stakes dynamics including coalition uncertainty and voter mobilization efforts. The 65–70% outcome holds 25.5% implied probability, accounting for potential adjustments in final counts excluding mail-in ballots, while lower brackets see negligible volume. Official turnout confirmation from the National Electoral Commission remains pending, with historical patterns favoring the mid-70s range in competitive parliamentary votes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes