Tesla shares closed July 31 at $311.21 amid elevated volatility following the July 22 Q2 2026 earnings release, where revenue exceeded consensus at $28.24 billion but adjusted EPS of $0.33 fell short of the $0.51 estimate, pressuring margins and contributing to a post-print decline. The stock's recent range-bound action between roughly $297 and $315 reflects mixed signals from strong vehicle deliveries offset by margin compression, ongoing AI and autonomy investment costs, and broader growth-stock sensitivity to interest-rate expectations. With no major near-term catalysts before week-end resolution, trader positioning spreads probabilities across multiple $5 buckets around current levels, underscoring uncertainty in near-term directional momentum versus longer-term execution on robotaxi and Optimus initiatives.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour>$330 16%
$305-$310 13%
$300-$305 13%
$310-$315 12%
<$285
11%
$285-$290
7%
$290-$295
8%
$295-$300
11%
$300-$305
13%
$305-$310
13%
$310-$315
12%
$315-$320
12%
$320-$325
10%
$325-$330
8%
>$330
16%
>$330 16%
$305-$310 13%
$300-$305 13%
$310-$315 12%
<$285
11%
$285-$290
7%
$290-$295
8%
$295-$300
11%
$300-$305
13%
$305-$310
13%
$310-$315
12%
$315-$320
12%
$320-$325
10%
$325-$330
8%
>$330
16%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Source de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed July 31 at $311.21 amid elevated volatility following the July 22 Q2 2026 earnings release, where revenue exceeded consensus at $28.24 billion but adjusted EPS of $0.33 fell short of the $0.51 estimate, pressuring margins and contributing to a post-print decline. The stock's recent range-bound action between roughly $297 and $315 reflects mixed signals from strong vehicle deliveries offset by margin compression, ongoing AI and autonomy investment costs, and broader growth-stock sensitivity to interest-rate expectations. With no major near-term catalysts before week-end resolution, trader positioning spreads probabilities across multiple $5 buckets around current levels, underscoring uncertainty in near-term directional momentum versus longer-term execution on robotaxi and Optimus initiatives.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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