Trump Media & Technology Group's definitive merger agreement with TAE Technologies, announced December 18, 2025, as a $6 billion all-stock deal, explicitly targets a mid-2026 closing subject to shareholder approval, regulatory clearances, and customary conditions, driving trader consensus to 99.7% "No" for completion by March 31. No progress updates, SEC filings, or votes have emerged in the past 90 days, with a February 27 discussion of post-merger Truth Social spin-off underscoring delays. Such high certainty reflects standard timelines for public company mergers amid potential SEC scrutiny. Only an extraordinary rush of approvals and filings in the final three days could shift odds, though historical precedents for fusion-energy deals suggest otherwise.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$23,181 Vol.
$23,181 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Oui
$23,181 Vol.
$23,181 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18th, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.Trump Media & Technology Group's definitive merger agreement with TAE Technologies, announced December 18, 2025, as a $6 billion all-stock deal, explicitly targets a mid-2026 closing subject to shareholder approval, regulatory clearances, and customary conditions, driving trader consensus to 99.7% "No" for completion by March 31. No progress updates, SEC filings, or votes have emerged in the past 90 days, with a February 27 discussion of post-merger Truth Social spin-off underscoring delays. Such high certainty reflects standard timelines for public company mergers amid potential SEC scrutiny. Only an extraordinary rush of approvals and filings in the final three days could shift odds, though historical precedents for fusion-energy deals suggest otherwise.
Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18th, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Marché ouvert : Dec 18, 2025, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$23,181Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 18, 2025, 8:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18th, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.Trump Media & Technology Group's definitive merger agreement with TAE Technologies, announced December 18, 2025, as a $6 billion all-stock deal, explicitly targets a mid-2026 closing subject to shareholder approval, regulatory clearances, and customary conditions, driving trader consensus to 99.7% "No" for completion by March 31. No progress updates, SEC filings, or votes have emerged in the past 90 days, with a February 27 discussion of post-merger Truth Social spin-off underscoring delays. Such high certainty reflects standard timelines for public company mergers amid potential SEC scrutiny. Only an extraordinary rush of approvals and filings in the final three days could shift odds, though historical precedents for fusion-energy deals suggest otherwise.
Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18th, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Volume
$23,181Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 18, 2025, 8:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump Media & Technology Group's definitive merger agreement with TAE Technologies, announced December 18, 2025, as a $6 billion all-stock deal, explicitly targets a mid-2026 closing subject to shareholder approval, regulatory clearances, and customary conditions, driving trader consensus to 99.7% "No" for completion by March 31. No progress updates, SEC filings, or votes have emerged in the past 90 days, with a February 27 discussion of post-merger Truth Social spin-off underscoring delays. Such high certainty reflects standard timelines for public company mergers amid potential SEC scrutiny. Only an extraordinary rush of approvals and filings in the final three days could shift odds, though historical precedents for fusion-energy deals suggest otherwise.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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