Market icon

Trump déclassifie les nouveaux fichiers OVNI par… ?

Market icon

Trump déclassifie les nouveaux fichiers OVNI par… ?

$122,803 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$122,803 Vol.

Polymarket

31 mars

$99,939 Vol.

4%

30 avril

$12,615 Vol.

34%

31 décembre

$10,249 Vol.

73%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Trump pledged during his 2024 campaign to declassify remaining government files on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAPs, formerly UFOs), citing public interest and national security transparency, but he holds no presidential authority until inauguration on January 20, 2025. No specific post-election announcements or transition team plans on UAP disclosure have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving trader sentiment tied to his past statements—like October podcast remarks expressing willingness to review files—and historical patterns, where he partially released JFK assassination documents in 2017 but withheld some sensitive portions. Upcoming executive actions post-inauguration could catalyze movement, amid ongoing congressional pushes like the failed Schumer amendment in the 2025 NDAA and the Pentagon's November AARO report documenting over 1,600 UAP cases with no extraterrestrial evidence.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.

Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.

The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$122,803
Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Trump pledged during his 2024 campaign to declassify remaining government files on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAPs, formerly UFOs), citing public interest and national security transparency, but he holds no presidential authority until inauguration on January 20, 2025. No specific post-election announcements or transition team plans on UAP disclosure have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving trader sentiment tied to his past statements—like October podcast remarks expressing willingness to review files—and historical patterns, where he partially released JFK assassination documents in 2017 but withheld some sensitive portions. Upcoming executive actions post-inauguration could catalyze movement, amid ongoing congressional pushes like the failed Schumer amendment in the 2025 NDAA and the Pentagon's November AARO report documenting over 1,600 UAP cases with no extraterrestrial evidence.

President-elect Trump pledged during his 2024 campaign to declassify remaining government files on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAPs, formerly UFOs), citing public interest and national security transparency, but he holds no presidential authority until inauguration on January 20, 2025. No specific post-election announcements or transition team plans on UAP disclosure have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving trader sentiment tied to his past statements—like October podcast remarks expressing willingness to review files—and historical patterns, where he partially released JFK assassination documents in 2017 but withheld some sensitive portions. Upcoming executive actions post-inauguration could catalyze movement, amid ongoing congressional pushes like the failed Schumer amendment in the 2025 NDAA and the Pentagon's November AARO report documenting over 1,600 UAP cases with no extraterrestrial evidence.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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« Trump déclassifie les nouveaux fichiers OVNI par… ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre » à 73%, suivi de « 30 avril » à 34%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 73¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 73% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Trump déclassifie les nouveaux fichiers OVNI par… ? » a généré $122.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 21, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Trump déclassifie les nouveaux fichiers OVNI par… ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Trump déclassifie les nouveaux fichiers OVNI par… ? » est « 31 décembre » à 73%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 73% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 30 avril » à 34%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Trump déclassifie les nouveaux fichiers OVNI par… ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.