Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's A24 black comedy The Drama posted a robust $6.4 million domestic Friday gross including $1.7 million Thursday previews—its third-best opening day ever for the distributor—driving trader consensus toward a 14-15 million opening weekend at 55.5% implied probability, with 13-14 million close behind at 36.5%. This outperforms pre-release tracking lows of $10-12 million amid stiff competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's dominant launch and Project Hail Mary's holdover strength during Easter weekend. Mixed-positive reviews (79% Rotten Tomatoes) and star draw fuel optimism for solid word-of-mouth, though steep Saturday drops could cap totals; final Sunday estimates will lock resolution Sunday night.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
14-15m 54%
13-14m 34%
15-16m 16.3%
12-13m 4.5%
$88,677 Vol.
$88,677 Vol.
6 avr. 2026
<10m
<1%
10-11m
<1%
11-12m
<1%
12-13m
4%
13-14m
34%
14-15m
54%
15-16m
16%
16-17m
2%
>17m
1%
14-15m 54%
13-14m 34%
15-16m 16.3%
12-13m 4.5%
$88,677 Vol.
$88,677 Vol.
6 avr. 2026
<10m
$3,187 Vol.
<1%
10-11m
$2,778 Vol.
<1%
11-12m
$4,242 Vol.
<1%
12-13m
$5,722 Vol.
4%
13-14m
$5,968 Vol.
34%
14-15m
$4,257 Vol.
54%
15-16m
$14,365 Vol.
16%
16-17m
$18,947 Vol.
2%
>17m
$29,210 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's A24 black comedy The Drama posted a robust $6.4 million domestic Friday gross including $1.7 million Thursday previews—its third-best opening day ever for the distributor—driving trader consensus toward a 14-15 million opening weekend at 55.5% implied probability, with 13-14 million close behind at 36.5%. This outperforms pre-release tracking lows of $10-12 million amid stiff competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's dominant launch and Project Hail Mary's holdover strength during Easter weekend. Mixed-positive reviews (79% Rotten Tomatoes) and star draw fuel optimism for solid word-of-mouth, though steep Saturday drops could cap totals; final Sunday estimates will lock resolution Sunday night.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Volume
$88,677Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's A24 black comedy The Drama posted a robust $6.4 million domestic Friday gross including $1.7 million Thursday previews—its third-best opening day ever for the distributor—driving trader consensus toward a 14-15 million opening weekend at 55.5% implied probability, with 13-14 million close behind at 36.5%. This outperforms pre-release tracking lows of $10-12 million amid stiff competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's dominant launch and Project Hail Mary's holdover strength during Easter weekend. Mixed-positive reviews (79% Rotten Tomatoes) and star draw fuel optimism for solid word-of-mouth, though steep Saturday drops could cap totals; final Sunday estimates will lock resolution Sunday night.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$88,677Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's A24 black comedy The Drama posted a robust $6.4 million domestic Friday gross including $1.7 million Thursday previews—its third-best opening day ever for the distributor—driving trader consensus toward a 14-15 million opening weekend at 55.5% implied probability, with 13-14 million close behind at 36.5%. This outperforms pre-release tracking lows of $10-12 million amid stiff competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's dominant launch and Project Hail Mary's holdover strength during Easter weekend. Mixed-positive reviews (79% Rotten Tomatoes) and star draw fuel optimism for solid word-of-mouth, though steep Saturday drops could cap totals; final Sunday estimates will lock resolution Sunday night.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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