A24's Zendaya-Robert Pattinson rom-com The Drama posted a solid $1.7 million in Thursday previews across 3,087 screens, fueling trader consensus for a $12-15 million opening weekend amid fierce Easter competition from family tentpoles like Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Project Hail Mary. Positive critical reception—83% certified fresh on Rotten Tomatoes from 76 reviews, praising director Kristoffer Borgli's squirmy dark humor—bolsters walk-up potential, though the film's niche marital-jitters premise tempers blockbuster expectations against its $25-28 million budget. Pre-sales tracking and star draw have narrowed implied probabilities to a tight race between 13-14m (34.5%) and adjacent ranges, with Friday grosses and holiday family turnout as key swing factors before Sunday close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
12-13m 35%
13-14m 30%
14-15m 22%
10-11m 8.5%
$50,332 Vol.
$50,332 Vol.
<10m
3%
10-11m
9%
11-12m
15%
12-13m
29%
13-14m
35%
14-15m
26%
15-16m
7%
16-17m
6%
>17m
1%
12-13m 35%
13-14m 30%
14-15m 22%
10-11m 8.5%
$50,332 Vol.
$50,332 Vol.
<10m
3%
10-11m
9%
11-12m
15%
12-13m
29%
13-14m
35%
14-15m
26%
15-16m
7%
16-17m
6%
>17m
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A24's Zendaya-Robert Pattinson rom-com The Drama posted a solid $1.7 million in Thursday previews across 3,087 screens, fueling trader consensus for a $12-15 million opening weekend amid fierce Easter competition from family tentpoles like Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Project Hail Mary. Positive critical reception—83% certified fresh on Rotten Tomatoes from 76 reviews, praising director Kristoffer Borgli's squirmy dark humor—bolsters walk-up potential, though the film's niche marital-jitters premise tempers blockbuster expectations against its $25-28 million budget. Pre-sales tracking and star draw have narrowed implied probabilities to a tight race between 13-14m (34.5%) and adjacent ranges, with Friday grosses and holiday family turnout as key swing factors before Sunday close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes