Polymarket traders are split on silver's June settlement, with sub-$50 (17%) edging out >$115 (16%) amid dueling bullish supply squeezes and recession risks, while mid-bins like $50-$70 (26.9% combined) trail closely. Persistent global deficits—projected at 200 million ounces by the Silver Institute—bolster upside via surging solar and EV demand, amplified by Fed rate cuts weakening the USD (DXY at 100.5). Yet, hawkish CPI prints and China's faltering stimulus temper gains, capping trader consensus around $40-$60 implied mean. Key differentiators: November FOMC signals and Q4 industrial data, where softer U.S. jobs could spike volatility toward extremes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourÀ quoi Silver (SI) s'installera-t-il en juin ?
À quoi Silver (SI) s'installera-t-il en juin ?
Moins de 50 $ 17%
>115 $ 16%
50 à 60 $ 13.7%
60-70 $ 13.3%
$389,004 Vol.
$389,004 Vol.
Moins de 50 $
17%
50 à 60 $
14%
60-70 $
13%
70 $-80 $
12%
80-90 $
11%
90$ - 100$
10%
100 $-115 $
9%
>115 $
16%
Moins de 50 $ 17%
>115 $ 16%
50 à 60 $ 13.7%
60-70 $ 13.3%
$389,004 Vol.
$389,004 Vol.
Moins de 50 $
17%
50 à 60 $
14%
60-70 $
13%
70 $-80 $
12%
80-90 $
11%
90$ - 100$
10%
100 $-115 $
9%
>115 $
16%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders are split on silver's June settlement, with sub-$50 (17%) edging out >$115 (16%) amid dueling bullish supply squeezes and recession risks, while mid-bins like $50-$70 (26.9% combined) trail closely. Persistent global deficits—projected at 200 million ounces by the Silver Institute—bolster upside via surging solar and EV demand, amplified by Fed rate cuts weakening the USD (DXY at 100.5). Yet, hawkish CPI prints and China's faltering stimulus temper gains, capping trader consensus around $40-$60 implied mean. Key differentiators: November FOMC signals and Q4 industrial data, where softer U.S. jobs could spike volatility toward extremes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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