Market icon

Robinhood lance un marché de prédiction via MIAXdx d'ici le 31 mars ?

Market icon

Robinhood lance un marché de prédiction via MIAXdx d'ici le 31 mars ?

Oui

1% chance
Polymarket

$331,925 Vol.

Oui

1% chance
Polymarket

$331,925 Vol.

Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count. Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational. Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market. The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 98.7% implied probability for "No" on Robinhood launching a prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31, driven by the deadline's passage without any announcement, regulatory approval, or platform rollout. Recent developments highlight Robinhood's focus on alternative expansions, such as crypto perpetual futures via MIAX Pearl's dx exchange, but event contracts for prediction markets face stringent CFTC hurdles that Kalshi alone has navigated successfully. Absent extraordinary late-breaking filings or surprise integrations—scenarios traders deem highly improbable given radio silence from executives and no beta testing signals—the market pricing embodies skin-in-the-game wisdom anticipating resolution to "No."

Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.

Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.

Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$331,925
Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 1, 2025, 6:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count. Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational. Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market. The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 98.7% implied probability for "No" on Robinhood launching a prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31, driven by the deadline's passage without any announcement, regulatory approval, or platform rollout. Recent developments highlight Robinhood's focus on alternative expansions, such as crypto perpetual futures via MIAX Pearl's dx exchange, but event contracts for prediction markets face stringent CFTC hurdles that Kalshi alone has navigated successfully. Absent extraordinary late-breaking filings or surprise integrations—scenarios traders deem highly improbable given radio silence from executives and no beta testing signals—the market pricing embodies skin-in-the-game wisdom anticipating resolution to "No."

Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.

Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.

Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$331,925
Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 1, 2025, 6:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Robinhood lance un marché de prédiction via MIAXdx d'ici le 31 mars ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Robinhood lance-t-il un marché de prédiction via MIAXdx avant le 31 mars ? » à 1%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 1¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 1% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Robinhood lance un marché de prédiction via MIAXdx d'ici le 31 mars ? » a généré $331.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 1, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Robinhood lance un marché de prédiction via MIAXdx d'ici le 31 mars ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Robinhood lance un marché de prédiction via MIAXdx d'ici le 31 mars ? » est « Robinhood lance-t-il un marché de prédiction via MIAXdx avant le 31 mars ? » à seulement 1%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Robinhood lance un marché de prédiction via MIAXdx d'ici le 31 mars ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.