**Primetime**, Robert Pattinson’s A24 psychological thriller inspired by *To Catch a Predator*, opens wide on September 25 following its Venice Film Festival premiere earlier this month. Early tracking pointed to a modest $10–15 million domestic debut, consistent with recent A24 titles and Pattinson’s prior 2026 opener *The Drama* ($14.4 million). Market pricing, however, centers on the 19–22 million and 22 million-plus brackets, reflecting trader confidence in the star’s draw, the film’s timely true-crime hook, and broader fall box-office momentum after *Resident Evil*’s franchise-best $60 million launch. The weekend features direct competition from Brad Pitt’s *Heart of the Beast* and the animated *Forgotten Island*, which could split family and adult audiences. A24’s genre track record and any strong Venice reception or review momentum remain the key swing factors that could push results toward the higher end of current consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBox-office d'ouverture du week-end « Primetime »
Box-office d'ouverture du week-end « Primetime »
22 M+ 39%
19-22 millions 36%
13-16M 13.9%
16-19 M$ 8.3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 sept. 2026
<10 M
2%
10-13M
8%
13-16M
11%
16-19 M$
15%
19-22 millions
36%
22 M+
40%
22 M+ 39%
19-22 millions 36%
13-16M 13.9%
16-19 M$ 8.3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 sept. 2026
<10 M
$693 Vol.
2%
10-13M
$875 Vol.
8%
13-16M
$1,120 Vol.
11%
16-19 M$
$678 Vol.
15%
19-22 millions
$1,964 Vol.
36%
22 M+
$2,583 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Primetime**, Robert Pattinson’s A24 psychological thriller inspired by *To Catch a Predator*, opens wide on September 25 following its Venice Film Festival premiere earlier this month. Early tracking pointed to a modest $10–15 million domestic debut, consistent with recent A24 titles and Pattinson’s prior 2026 opener *The Drama* ($14.4 million). Market pricing, however, centers on the 19–22 million and 22 million-plus brackets, reflecting trader confidence in the star’s draw, the film’s timely true-crime hook, and broader fall box-office momentum after *Resident Evil*’s franchise-best $60 million launch. The weekend features direct competition from Brad Pitt’s *Heart of the Beast* and the animated *Forgotten Island*, which could split family and adult audiences. A24’s genre track record and any strong Venice reception or review momentum remain the key swing factors that could push results toward the higher end of current consensus.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Volume
$7,914Date de fin
27 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Primetime**, Robert Pattinson’s A24 psychological thriller inspired by *To Catch a Predator*, opens wide on September 25 following its Venice Film Festival premiere earlier this month. Early tracking pointed to a modest $10–15 million domestic debut, consistent with recent A24 titles and Pattinson’s prior 2026 opener *The Drama* ($14.4 million). Market pricing, however, centers on the 19–22 million and 22 million-plus brackets, reflecting trader confidence in the star’s draw, the film’s timely true-crime hook, and broader fall box-office momentum after *Resident Evil*’s franchise-best $60 million launch. The weekend features direct competition from Brad Pitt’s *Heart of the Beast* and the animated *Forgotten Island*, which could split family and adult audiences. A24’s genre track record and any strong Venice reception or review momentum remain the key swing factors that could push results toward the higher end of current consensus.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$7,914Date de fin
27 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Primetime**, Robert Pattinson’s A24 psychological thriller inspired by *To Catch a Predator*, opens wide on September 25 following its Venice Film Festival premiere earlier this month. Early tracking pointed to a modest $10–15 million domestic debut, consistent with recent A24 titles and Pattinson’s prior 2026 opener *The Drama* ($14.4 million). Market pricing, however, centers on the 19–22 million and 22 million-plus brackets, reflecting trader confidence in the star’s draw, the film’s timely true-crime hook, and broader fall box-office momentum after *Resident Evil*’s franchise-best $60 million launch. The weekend features direct competition from Brad Pitt’s *Heart of the Beast* and the animated *Forgotten Island*, which could split family and adult audiences. A24’s genre track record and any strong Venice reception or review momentum remain the key swing factors that could push results toward the higher end of current consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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