Hong Kong Observatory's monthly weather summary for March 2026, published March 31, confirms total rainfall at the Observatory station between 150-160mm amid an unseasonably warm and rainy month, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome. Early-month cold fronts on March 2 triggered showers with 30mm locally, followed by upper-air disturbances on March 3-4 delivering over 100mm across Kowloon, Tseung Kwan O, and Lantau amid thunderstorms, supplemented by lighter rain patches on March 10, 17, 20-21, 27, 29, and 30. Accumulated daily totals solidify this positioning, with resolution imminent per HKO's official "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure. Only a rare data correction or audit discrepancy could challenge it, though none is indicated.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPrecipitation in Hong Kong in March?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?
150-160mm 100.0%
<150mm <1%
160-170mm <1%
170-180mm <1%
$30,716 Vol.
$30,716 Vol.
<150mm
No
150-160mm
Yes
160-170mm
No
170-180mm
No
180-190mm
No
190-200mm
No
200mm+
No
150-160mm 100.0%
<150mm <1%
160-170mm <1%
170-180mm <1%
$30,716 Vol.
$30,716 Vol.
<150mm
No
150-160mm
Yes
160-170mm
No
170-180mm
No
180-190mm
No
190-200mm
No
200mm+
No
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in March 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 1:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in March 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Hong Kong Observatory's monthly weather summary for March 2026, published March 31, confirms total rainfall at the Observatory station between 150-160mm amid an unseasonably warm and rainy month, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome. Early-month cold fronts on March 2 triggered showers with 30mm locally, followed by upper-air disturbances on March 3-4 delivering over 100mm across Kowloon, Tseung Kwan O, and Lantau amid thunderstorms, supplemented by lighter rain patches on March 10, 17, 20-21, 27, 29, and 30. Accumulated daily totals solidify this positioning, with resolution imminent per HKO's official "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure. Only a rare data correction or audit discrepancy could challenge it, though none is indicated.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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