Trader consensus heavily favors 80-90 million week-one YouTube views for MrBeast's next video at 65% implied probability, anchored by recent benchmarks like "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat," which tallied 83 million in its first seven days despite a modest 36 million day-one start and some "falling off" chatter. The freshly dropped "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000"—hyped as his best ever—has already surged to 19 million views in under a day, mirroring the high-stakes challenge format that sustains his 470+ million subscriber base's engagement amid slight view velocity slowdowns from 2025 peaks. Lower brackets trail due to consistent floor performance, while upside potential hinges on viral cross-promo from streamers and algorithm boosts, though audience saturation tempers 100M+ hopes. Watch for early metrics post-release to signal shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 64%
70-80M 15.0%
90-100M 14%
60-70M 5.6%
$222,383 Vol.
$222,383 Vol.
<60M
<1%
60-70M
6%
70-80M
15%
80-90M
64%
90-100M
14%
100-110M
3%
110M+
2%
80-90M 64%
70-80M 15.0%
90-100M 14%
60-70M 5.6%
$222,383 Vol.
$222,383 Vol.
<60M
<1%
60-70M
6%
70-80M
15%
80-90M
64%
90-100M
14%
100-110M
3%
110M+
2%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Mar 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 80-90 million week-one YouTube views for MrBeast's next video at 65% implied probability, anchored by recent benchmarks like "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat," which tallied 83 million in its first seven days despite a modest 36 million day-one start and some "falling off" chatter. The freshly dropped "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000"—hyped as his best ever—has already surged to 19 million views in under a day, mirroring the high-stakes challenge format that sustains his 470+ million subscriber base's engagement amid slight view velocity slowdowns from 2025 peaks. Lower brackets trail due to consistent floor performance, while upside potential hinges on viral cross-promo from streamers and algorithm boosts, though audience saturation tempers 100M+ hopes. Watch for early metrics post-release to signal shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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