October 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.29-1.34 99.9%
<1.17 <1%
1.17-1.22 <1%
1.23-1.28 <1%
$863,544 Vol.
$863,544 Vol.
Oct 31, 2024
<1.17
$84,655 Vol.
No
<1.17
$84,655 Vol.
No
1.17-1.22
$80,342 Vol.
No
1.17-1.22
$80,342 Vol.
No
1.23-1.28
$94,761 Vol.
No
1.23-1.28
$94,761 Vol.
No
1.29-1.34
$55,050 Vol.
Yes
1.29-1.34
$55,050 Vol.
Yes
1.35-1.40
$95,316 Vol.
No
1.35-1.40
$95,316 Vol.
No
>1.40
$453,420 Vol.
No
>1.40
$453,420 Vol.
No
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.17°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for October 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for October 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "October" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for October 2024 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.17°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for October 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for October 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "October" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for October 2024 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for October 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for October 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "October" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for October 2024 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Créé le : Oct 23, 2024, 3:59 PM ET
Volume
$863,544Date de fin
Oct 31, 2024Créé le
Oct 23, 2024, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
October 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.29-1.34 99.9%
<1.17 <1%
1.17-1.22 <1%
1.23-1.28 <1%
$863,544 Vol.
$863,544 Vol.
Oct 31, 2024
<1.17
$84,655 Vol.
No
1.17-1.22
$80,342 Vol.
No
1.23-1.28
$94,761 Vol.
No
1.29-1.34
$55,050 Vol.
Yes
1.35-1.40
$95,316 Vol.
No
>1.40
$453,420 Vol.
No
À propos
Volume
$863,544Date de fin
Oct 31, 2024Créé le
Oct 23, 2024, 3:59 PM ETResolver
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