Zach Werenski's league-leading scoring pace among defensemen—topping all blueliners with over 20 points early in the 2024-25 season—anchors his 57.5% implied probability as Norris Trophy favorite, fueling trader consensus amid Columbus's surprising surge. Cale Makar's return from injury bolsters his 31.5% share, leveraging his elite two-way play and Avalanche contention, though Werenski's power-play dominance and plus/minus edge have narrowed the gap. Evan Bouchard's 7.8% reflects Edmonton's offensive firepower, while Quinn Hughes' 4.0% holds on Vancouver's strong start despite modest personal output. Recent Blue Jackets wins and no major injuries for leaders underscore shifting sentiment toward production in a points-driven race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourZach Werenski 66.3%
Cale Makar 32%
Evan Bouchard 7.9%
Quinn Hughes 4.0%
$68,717 Vol.
$68,717 Vol.
Zach Werenski
57%
Cale Makar
32%
Evan Bouchard
8%
Quinn Hughes
4%
Sean Durzi
2%
Lane Hutson
2%
Alex Vlasic
2%
Charlie McAvoy
1%
Luke Hughes
1%
Philip Broberg
1%
Cam Fowler
1%
Neal Pionk
1%
Rasmus Dahlin
1%
Brady Skjei
1%
MacKenzie Weegar
1%
Colton Parayko
1%
Devon Toews
1%
Drew Doughty
1%
Aaron Ekblad
1%
Owen Power
1%
Brock Faber
1%
Travis Sanheim
1%
Shayne Gostisbehere
1%
Roman Josi
1%
Dougie Hamilton
1%
Jaccob Slavin
1%
Erik Karlsson
1%
Thomas Harley
1%
Noah Hanifin
<1%
Jake Sanderson
<1%
Thomas Chabot
<1%
Mike Matheson
<1%
Darnell Nurse
<1%
Jakob Chychrun
<1%
Jared Spurgeon
<1%
Jake Walman
<1%
Shea Theodore
<1%
Rasmus Andersson
<1%
Adam Larsson
<1%
Simon Edvinsson
<1%
Vince Dunn
<1%
Morgan Rielly
<1%
Brandt Clarke
<1%
Gustav Forsling
<1%
John Carlson
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Mattias Ekholm
<1%
Josh Morrissey
<1%
Jackson LaCombe
<1%
Esa Lindell
<1%
Justin Faulk
<1%
K'Andre Miller
<1%
Alex Pietrangelo
<1%
Dante Fabbro
<1%
Kris Letang
<1%
Mason Lohrei
<1%
Ryker Evans
<1%
Rasmus Sandin
<1%
Hampus Lindholm
<1%
Victor Hedman
<1%
Miro Heiskanen
<1%
Noah Dobson
<1%
Bowen Byram
<1%
Mikhail Sergachev
<1%
Moritz Seider
<1%
Brandon Montour
<1%
Brent Burns
<1%
Filip Hronek
<1%
Seth Jones
<1%
Zach Werenski 66.3%
Cale Makar 32%
Evan Bouchard 7.9%
Quinn Hughes 4.0%
$68,717 Vol.
$68,717 Vol.
Zach Werenski
57%
Cale Makar
32%
Evan Bouchard
8%
Quinn Hughes
4%
Sean Durzi
2%
Lane Hutson
2%
Alex Vlasic
2%
Charlie McAvoy
1%
Luke Hughes
1%
Philip Broberg
1%
Cam Fowler
1%
Neal Pionk
1%
Rasmus Dahlin
1%
Brady Skjei
1%
MacKenzie Weegar
1%
Colton Parayko
1%
Devon Toews
1%
Drew Doughty
1%
Aaron Ekblad
1%
Owen Power
1%
Brock Faber
1%
Travis Sanheim
1%
Shayne Gostisbehere
1%
Roman Josi
1%
Dougie Hamilton
1%
Jaccob Slavin
1%
Erik Karlsson
1%
Thomas Harley
1%
Noah Hanifin
<1%
Jake Sanderson
<1%
Thomas Chabot
<1%
Mike Matheson
<1%
Darnell Nurse
<1%
Jakob Chychrun
<1%
Jared Spurgeon
<1%
Jake Walman
<1%
Shea Theodore
<1%
Rasmus Andersson
<1%
Adam Larsson
<1%
Simon Edvinsson
<1%
Vince Dunn
<1%
Morgan Rielly
<1%
Brandt Clarke
<1%
Gustav Forsling
<1%
John Carlson
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Mattias Ekholm
<1%
Josh Morrissey
<1%
Jackson LaCombe
<1%
Esa Lindell
<1%
Justin Faulk
<1%
K'Andre Miller
<1%
Alex Pietrangelo
<1%
Dante Fabbro
<1%
Kris Letang
<1%
Mason Lohrei
<1%
Ryker Evans
<1%
Rasmus Sandin
<1%
Hampus Lindholm
<1%
Victor Hedman
<1%
Miro Heiskanen
<1%
Noah Dobson
<1%
Bowen Byram
<1%
Mikhail Sergachev
<1%
Moritz Seider
<1%
Brandon Montour
<1%
Brent Burns
<1%
Filip Hronek
<1%
Seth Jones
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 James Norris Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Oct 22, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Zach Werenski's league-leading scoring pace among defensemen—topping all blueliners with over 20 points early in the 2024-25 season—anchors his 57.5% implied probability as Norris Trophy favorite, fueling trader consensus amid Columbus's surprising surge. Cale Makar's return from injury bolsters his 31.5% share, leveraging his elite two-way play and Avalanche contention, though Werenski's power-play dominance and plus/minus edge have narrowed the gap. Evan Bouchard's 7.8% reflects Edmonton's offensive firepower, while Quinn Hughes' 4.0% holds on Vancouver's strong start despite modest personal output. Recent Blue Jackets wins and no major injuries for leaders underscore shifting sentiment toward production in a points-driven race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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