New York Islanders defenseman Matthew Schaefer, the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 NHL Draft, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.4% implied probability for the Calder Memorial Trophy due to his league-leading rookie impact, including 22 goals, 34 assists, and 56 points in 73 games while logging 24:28 average time on ice as a top-pair, all-situations blueliner on a playoff-contending team. Recent highlights, such as tying the Islanders' rookie defenseman points record with two assists in a 5-2 win over the weekend, have further entrenched his lead over forwards like Beckett Sennecke and Ivan Demidov, who trail in scoring despite strong campaigns. While his dominance appears insurmountable, a late-season injury, sharp dip in production, or voters prioritizing forward scoring could open the door for challengers in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMatthew Schaefer 98.4%
Ivan Demidov <1%
Zeev Buium <1%
Beckett Sennecke <1%
$257,382 Vol.
$257,382 Vol.
Matthew Schaefer
98%
Ivan Demidov
1%
Zeev Buium
<1%
Beckett Sennecke
<1%
Luca Del Bel Belluz
<1%
Helge Grans
<1%
Isaac Howard
<1%
Jimmy Snuggerud
<1%
Calum Ritchie
<1%
Levi Merilainen
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Arseniy Gritsyuk
<1%
Michael Misa
<1%
Oliver Kapanen
<1%
Zayne Parekh
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Nikita Chibrikov
<1%
Ryan Leonard
<1%
Samuel Honzek
<1%
Linus Karlsson
<1%
Owen Pickering
<1%
Sam Rinzel
<1%
Artyom Levshunov
<1%
Rutger McGroarty
<1%
Joakim Kemell
<1%
Justin Sourdif
<1%
Danila Yurov
<1%
Logan Mailloux
<1%
Jett Luchanko
<1%
Easton Cowan
<1%
James Hagens
<1%
Maxim Shabanov
<1%
Axel Sandin-Pellikka
<1%
Liam Ohgren
<1%
Colton Dach
<1%
Cameron Lund
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Alex Bump
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Leo Sahlin-Wallenius
<1%
Dmitri Simashev
<1%
Seamus Casey
<1%
Brennan Othmann
<1%
Oliver Moore
<1%
Tom Willander
<1%
Karsen Dorwart
<1%
Liam Greentree
<1%
Daniil But
<1%
Carter King
<1%
Trevor Connelly
<1%
Shane Lachance
<1%
Dans Locmelis
<1%
Justin Robidas
<1%
Fabian Lysell
<1%
Ethan Del Mastro
<1%
Maveric Lamoureux
<1%
Scott Morrow
<1%
Noah Ostlund
<1%
Ville Ottavainen
<1%
Jonathan Lekkerimaki
<1%
Rory Kerins
<1%
Luca Cagnoni
<1%
Gabe Perreault
<1%
Matthew Savoie
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Bradly Nadeau
<1%
Fraser Minten
<1%
Jake O'Brien
<1%
Berkly Catton
<1%
Dalibor Dvorsky
<1%
Sam Dickinson
<1%
Matthew Wood
<1%
Jani Nyman
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Brad Lambert
<1%
Aydar Suniev
<1%
Jacob Fowler
<1%
Andrew Cristall
<1%
Ville Koivunen
<1%
Jack DeVine
<1%
Ozzy Wiesblatt
<1%
Matthew Schaefer 98.4%
Ivan Demidov <1%
Zeev Buium <1%
Beckett Sennecke <1%
$257,382 Vol.
$257,382 Vol.
Matthew Schaefer
98%
Ivan Demidov
1%
Zeev Buium
<1%
Beckett Sennecke
<1%
Luca Del Bel Belluz
<1%
Helge Grans
<1%
Isaac Howard
<1%
Jimmy Snuggerud
<1%
Calum Ritchie
<1%
Levi Merilainen
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Arseniy Gritsyuk
<1%
Michael Misa
<1%
Oliver Kapanen
<1%
Zayne Parekh
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Nikita Chibrikov
<1%
Ryan Leonard
<1%
Samuel Honzek
<1%
Linus Karlsson
<1%
Owen Pickering
<1%
Sam Rinzel
<1%
Artyom Levshunov
<1%
Rutger McGroarty
<1%
Joakim Kemell
<1%
Justin Sourdif
<1%
Danila Yurov
<1%
Logan Mailloux
<1%
Jett Luchanko
<1%
Easton Cowan
<1%
James Hagens
<1%
Maxim Shabanov
<1%
Axel Sandin-Pellikka
<1%
Liam Ohgren
<1%
Colton Dach
<1%
Cameron Lund
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Alex Bump
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Leo Sahlin-Wallenius
<1%
Dmitri Simashev
<1%
Seamus Casey
<1%
Brennan Othmann
<1%
Oliver Moore
<1%
Tom Willander
<1%
Karsen Dorwart
<1%
Liam Greentree
<1%
Daniil But
<1%
Carter King
<1%
Trevor Connelly
<1%
Shane Lachance
<1%
Dans Locmelis
<1%
Justin Robidas
<1%
Fabian Lysell
<1%
Ethan Del Mastro
<1%
Maveric Lamoureux
<1%
Scott Morrow
<1%
Noah Ostlund
<1%
Ville Ottavainen
<1%
Jonathan Lekkerimaki
<1%
Rory Kerins
<1%
Luca Cagnoni
<1%
Gabe Perreault
<1%
Matthew Savoie
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Bradly Nadeau
<1%
Fraser Minten
<1%
Jake O'Brien
<1%
Berkly Catton
<1%
Dalibor Dvorsky
<1%
Sam Dickinson
<1%
Matthew Wood
<1%
Jani Nyman
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Brad Lambert
<1%
Aydar Suniev
<1%
Jacob Fowler
<1%
Andrew Cristall
<1%
Ville Koivunen
<1%
Jack DeVine
<1%
Ozzy Wiesblatt
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Oct 22, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York Islanders defenseman Matthew Schaefer, the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 NHL Draft, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.4% implied probability for the Calder Memorial Trophy due to his league-leading rookie impact, including 22 goals, 34 assists, and 56 points in 73 games while logging 24:28 average time on ice as a top-pair, all-situations blueliner on a playoff-contending team. Recent highlights, such as tying the Islanders' rookie defenseman points record with two assists in a 5-2 win over the weekend, have further entrenched his lead over forwards like Beckett Sennecke and Ivan Demidov, who trail in scoring despite strong campaigns. While his dominance appears insurmountable, a late-season injury, sharp dip in production, or voters prioritizing forward scoring could open the door for challengers in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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