New York Islanders defenseman Matthew Schaefer dominates trader consensus for the Calder Trophy at 98.5% implied probability, driven by his historic rookie campaign as the 2025 first overall pick. The 18-year-old leads all NHL rookies with 56 points (22 goals, 34 assists) through 74 games, plus-21 rating, and elite 24:31 average time on ice—ranking among the League's top defensemen—highlighted by recent milestones like becoming the youngest blueliner to hit 50 career points on March 19 and tying an Islanders rookie defenseman record three days ago with two assists versus Florida. Ivan Demidov trails distantly at 1.4% despite solid Montreal production, with others negligible. Realistic challenges include a late-season injury or Schaefer's sharp production drop in the final eight games, though his consistency and massive workload make an upset improbable amid the wisdom of crowds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMatthew Schaefer 98.4%
Ivan Demidov 1.3%
Beckett Sennecke <1%
Luca Del Bel Belluz <1%
$276,595 Vol.
$276,595 Vol.
Matthew Schaefer
98%
Ivan Demidov
1%
Beckett Sennecke
<1%
Luca Del Bel Belluz
<1%
Helge Grans
<1%
Isaac Howard
<1%
Jimmy Snuggerud
<1%
Zeev Buium
<1%
Calum Ritchie
<1%
Levi Merilainen
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Arseniy Gritsyuk
<1%
Michael Misa
<1%
Oliver Kapanen
<1%
Zayne Parekh
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Nikita Chibrikov
<1%
Ryan Leonard
<1%
Samuel Honzek
<1%
Linus Karlsson
<1%
Owen Pickering
<1%
Sam Rinzel
<1%
Artyom Levshunov
<1%
Rutger McGroarty
<1%
Joakim Kemell
<1%
Justin Sourdif
<1%
Danila Yurov
<1%
Logan Mailloux
<1%
Jett Luchanko
<1%
Easton Cowan
<1%
James Hagens
<1%
Maxim Shabanov
<1%
Axel Sandin-Pellikka
<1%
Liam Ohgren
<1%
Colton Dach
<1%
Cameron Lund
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Alex Bump
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Leo Sahlin-Wallenius
<1%
Dmitri Simashev
<1%
Seamus Casey
<1%
Brennan Othmann
<1%
Oliver Moore
<1%
Tom Willander
<1%
Karsen Dorwart
<1%
Liam Greentree
<1%
Daniil But
<1%
Carter King
<1%
Trevor Connelly
<1%
Shane Lachance
<1%
Dans Locmelis
<1%
Justin Robidas
<1%
Fabian Lysell
<1%
Ethan Del Mastro
<1%
Maveric Lamoureux
<1%
Scott Morrow
<1%
Noah Ostlund
<1%
Ville Ottavainen
<1%
Jonathan Lekkerimaki
<1%
Rory Kerins
<1%
Luca Cagnoni
<1%
Gabe Perreault
<1%
Matthew Savoie
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Bradly Nadeau
<1%
Fraser Minten
<1%
Jake O'Brien
<1%
Berkly Catton
<1%
Dalibor Dvorsky
<1%
Sam Dickinson
<1%
Matthew Wood
<1%
Jani Nyman
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Brad Lambert
<1%
Aydar Suniev
<1%
Jacob Fowler
<1%
Andrew Cristall
<1%
Ville Koivunen
<1%
Jack DeVine
<1%
Ozzy Wiesblatt
<1%
Matthew Schaefer 98.4%
Ivan Demidov 1.3%
Beckett Sennecke <1%
Luca Del Bel Belluz <1%
$276,595 Vol.
$276,595 Vol.
Matthew Schaefer
98%
Ivan Demidov
1%
Beckett Sennecke
<1%
Luca Del Bel Belluz
<1%
Helge Grans
<1%
Isaac Howard
<1%
Jimmy Snuggerud
<1%
Zeev Buium
<1%
Calum Ritchie
<1%
Levi Merilainen
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Arseniy Gritsyuk
<1%
Michael Misa
<1%
Oliver Kapanen
<1%
Zayne Parekh
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Nikita Chibrikov
<1%
Ryan Leonard
<1%
Samuel Honzek
<1%
Linus Karlsson
<1%
Owen Pickering
<1%
Sam Rinzel
<1%
Artyom Levshunov
<1%
Rutger McGroarty
<1%
Joakim Kemell
<1%
Justin Sourdif
<1%
Danila Yurov
<1%
Logan Mailloux
<1%
Jett Luchanko
<1%
Easton Cowan
<1%
James Hagens
<1%
Maxim Shabanov
<1%
Axel Sandin-Pellikka
<1%
Liam Ohgren
<1%
Colton Dach
<1%
Cameron Lund
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Alex Bump
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Leo Sahlin-Wallenius
<1%
Dmitri Simashev
<1%
Seamus Casey
<1%
Brennan Othmann
<1%
Oliver Moore
<1%
Tom Willander
<1%
Karsen Dorwart
<1%
Liam Greentree
<1%
Daniil But
<1%
Carter King
<1%
Trevor Connelly
<1%
Shane Lachance
<1%
Dans Locmelis
<1%
Justin Robidas
<1%
Fabian Lysell
<1%
Ethan Del Mastro
<1%
Maveric Lamoureux
<1%
Scott Morrow
<1%
Noah Ostlund
<1%
Ville Ottavainen
<1%
Jonathan Lekkerimaki
<1%
Rory Kerins
<1%
Luca Cagnoni
<1%
Gabe Perreault
<1%
Matthew Savoie
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Bradly Nadeau
<1%
Fraser Minten
<1%
Jake O'Brien
<1%
Berkly Catton
<1%
Dalibor Dvorsky
<1%
Sam Dickinson
<1%
Matthew Wood
<1%
Jani Nyman
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Brad Lambert
<1%
Aydar Suniev
<1%
Jacob Fowler
<1%
Andrew Cristall
<1%
Ville Koivunen
<1%
Jack DeVine
<1%
Ozzy Wiesblatt
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Oct 22, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source de résolution
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York Islanders defenseman Matthew Schaefer dominates trader consensus for the Calder Trophy at 98.5% implied probability, driven by his historic rookie campaign as the 2025 first overall pick. The 18-year-old leads all NHL rookies with 56 points (22 goals, 34 assists) through 74 games, plus-21 rating, and elite 24:31 average time on ice—ranking among the League's top defensemen—highlighted by recent milestones like becoming the youngest blueliner to hit 50 career points on March 19 and tying an Islanders rookie defenseman record three days ago with two assists versus Florida. Ivan Demidov trails distantly at 1.4% despite solid Montreal production, with others negligible. Realistic challenges include a late-season injury or Schaefer's sharp production drop in the final eight games, though his consistency and massive workload make an upset improbable amid the wisdom of crowds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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