New York Islanders rookie defenseman Matthew Schaefer dominates trader consensus for the Calder Trophy at 98.5% implied probability, fueled by his historic production through 75% of the 2025-26 regular season, including a league-leading nine rookie goals and top points pace while logging over 24 minutes of ice time nightly—17th among all NHL skaters. Recent highlights, like two goals as the youngest blueliner ever to multi-goal in a game (March 1 vs. Florida) and two assists in a 5-2 win over the Panthers this week, have NHL.com voters awarding him maximum points and cemented his lead over challengers like Montreal's Ivan Demidov (1.3%). An injury, sharp production drop, or forward-preferring voter bias could challenge his lock status in the final stretch.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMatthew Schaefer 98.3%
Ivan Demidov <1%
Zeev Buium <1%
Beckett Sennecke <1%
$256,682 Vol.
$256,682 Vol.
Matthew Schaefer
98%
Ivan Demidov
1%
Zeev Buium
<1%
Beckett Sennecke
<1%
Luca Del Bel Belluz
<1%
Helge Grans
<1%
Isaac Howard
<1%
Jimmy Snuggerud
<1%
Calum Ritchie
<1%
Levi Merilainen
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Arseniy Gritsyuk
<1%
Michael Misa
<1%
Oliver Kapanen
<1%
Zayne Parekh
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Nikita Chibrikov
<1%
Ryan Leonard
<1%
Samuel Honzek
<1%
Linus Karlsson
<1%
Owen Pickering
<1%
Sam Rinzel
<1%
Artyom Levshunov
<1%
Rutger McGroarty
<1%
Joakim Kemell
<1%
Justin Sourdif
<1%
Danila Yurov
<1%
Logan Mailloux
<1%
Jett Luchanko
<1%
Easton Cowan
<1%
James Hagens
<1%
Maxim Shabanov
<1%
Axel Sandin-Pellikka
<1%
Liam Ohgren
<1%
Colton Dach
<1%
Cameron Lund
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Alex Bump
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Leo Sahlin-Wallenius
<1%
Dmitri Simashev
<1%
Seamus Casey
<1%
Brennan Othmann
<1%
Oliver Moore
<1%
Tom Willander
<1%
Karsen Dorwart
<1%
Liam Greentree
<1%
Daniil But
<1%
Carter King
<1%
Trevor Connelly
<1%
Shane Lachance
<1%
Dans Locmelis
<1%
Justin Robidas
<1%
Fabian Lysell
<1%
Ethan Del Mastro
<1%
Maveric Lamoureux
<1%
Scott Morrow
<1%
Noah Ostlund
<1%
Ville Ottavainen
<1%
Jonathan Lekkerimaki
<1%
Rory Kerins
<1%
Luca Cagnoni
<1%
Gabe Perreault
<1%
Matthew Savoie
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Bradly Nadeau
<1%
Fraser Minten
<1%
Jake O'Brien
<1%
Berkly Catton
<1%
Dalibor Dvorsky
<1%
Sam Dickinson
<1%
Matthew Wood
<1%
Jani Nyman
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Brad Lambert
<1%
Aydar Suniev
<1%
Jacob Fowler
<1%
Andrew Cristall
<1%
Ville Koivunen
<1%
Jack DeVine
<1%
Ozzy Wiesblatt
<1%
Matthew Schaefer 98.3%
Ivan Demidov <1%
Zeev Buium <1%
Beckett Sennecke <1%
$256,682 Vol.
$256,682 Vol.
Matthew Schaefer
98%
Ivan Demidov
1%
Zeev Buium
<1%
Beckett Sennecke
<1%
Luca Del Bel Belluz
<1%
Helge Grans
<1%
Isaac Howard
<1%
Jimmy Snuggerud
<1%
Calum Ritchie
<1%
Levi Merilainen
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Arseniy Gritsyuk
<1%
Michael Misa
<1%
Oliver Kapanen
<1%
Zayne Parekh
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Nikita Chibrikov
<1%
Ryan Leonard
<1%
Samuel Honzek
<1%
Linus Karlsson
<1%
Owen Pickering
<1%
Sam Rinzel
<1%
Artyom Levshunov
<1%
Rutger McGroarty
<1%
Joakim Kemell
<1%
Justin Sourdif
<1%
Danila Yurov
<1%
Logan Mailloux
<1%
Jett Luchanko
<1%
Easton Cowan
<1%
James Hagens
<1%
Maxim Shabanov
<1%
Axel Sandin-Pellikka
<1%
Liam Ohgren
<1%
Colton Dach
<1%
Cameron Lund
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Alex Bump
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Leo Sahlin-Wallenius
<1%
Dmitri Simashev
<1%
Seamus Casey
<1%
Brennan Othmann
<1%
Oliver Moore
<1%
Tom Willander
<1%
Karsen Dorwart
<1%
Liam Greentree
<1%
Daniil But
<1%
Carter King
<1%
Trevor Connelly
<1%
Shane Lachance
<1%
Dans Locmelis
<1%
Justin Robidas
<1%
Fabian Lysell
<1%
Ethan Del Mastro
<1%
Maveric Lamoureux
<1%
Scott Morrow
<1%
Noah Ostlund
<1%
Ville Ottavainen
<1%
Jonathan Lekkerimaki
<1%
Rory Kerins
<1%
Luca Cagnoni
<1%
Gabe Perreault
<1%
Matthew Savoie
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Bradly Nadeau
<1%
Fraser Minten
<1%
Jake O'Brien
<1%
Berkly Catton
<1%
Dalibor Dvorsky
<1%
Sam Dickinson
<1%
Matthew Wood
<1%
Jani Nyman
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Brad Lambert
<1%
Aydar Suniev
<1%
Jacob Fowler
<1%
Andrew Cristall
<1%
Ville Koivunen
<1%
Jack DeVine
<1%
Ozzy Wiesblatt
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Oct 22, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York Islanders rookie defenseman Matthew Schaefer dominates trader consensus for the Calder Trophy at 98.5% implied probability, fueled by his historic production through 75% of the 2025-26 regular season, including a league-leading nine rookie goals and top points pace while logging over 24 minutes of ice time nightly—17th among all NHL skaters. Recent highlights, like two goals as the youngest blueliner ever to multi-goal in a game (March 1 vs. Florida) and two assists in a 5-2 win over the Panthers this week, have NHL.com voters awarding him maximum points and cemented his lead over challengers like Montreal's Ivan Demidov (1.3%). An injury, sharp production drop, or forward-preferring voter bias could challenge his lock status in the final stretch.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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