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Netherlands Election: Which major party wins fewest seats?

Market icon

Netherlands Election: Which major party wins fewest seats?

CDA 100.0%

PVV <1%

VVD <1%

GL/PvdA <1%

Polymarket

$81,370 Vol.

CDA 100.0%

PVV <1%

VVD <1%

GL/PvdA <1%

Polymarket

$81,370 Vol.

Market icon

CDA

$22,919 Vol.

Yes

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PVV

$14,425 Vol.

No

Market icon

VVD

$15,566 Vol.

No

Market icon

GL/PvdA

$18,241 Vol.

No

Market icon

D66

$10,220 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fewest number of seats among the listed parties in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election.

Only listed parties will be considered.

If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

In the case of a tie between two or more of the listed parties for the fewest seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, it will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announces they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).
Volume
$81,370
Date de fin
Oct 29, 2025
Marché ouvert
Oct 20, 2025, 5:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fewest number of seats among the listed parties in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election. Only listed parties will be considered. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” In the case of a tie between two or more of the listed parties for the fewest seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, it will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/). Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announces they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Netherlands Election: Which major party wins fewest seats?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "CDA" at 100%, followed by "PVV" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Netherlands Election: Which major party wins fewest seats?" has generated $81.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Netherlands Election: Which major party wins fewest seats?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Netherlands Election: Which major party wins fewest seats?" is "CDA" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "PVV" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Netherlands Election: Which major party wins fewest seats?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.