Republican incumbent Brad Knott secured his party's nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, facing Democrat Paul Barringer in the November general election. The district carries an R+8 to R+9 Partisan Voter Index following the 2025 redistricting, placing it among the more reliably Republican seats in North Carolina. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the 83.5 percent Republican implied probability in current trader consensus. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment or external events reinforce the market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre NC-13
Parti républicain
84%
Parti démocrate
18%
Parti républicain
84%
Parti démocrate
18%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brad Knott secured his party's nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, facing Democrat Paul Barringer in the November general election. The district carries an R+8 to R+9 Partisan Voter Index following the 2025 redistricting, placing it among the more reliably Republican seats in North Carolina. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the 83.5 percent Republican implied probability in current trader consensus. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment or external events reinforce the market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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