The Republican nominee holds a strong advantage in Minnesota’s 6th Congressional District due to its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 2024 general-election margin above 62 percent. Tom Emmer, the sitting representative and former National Republican Congressional Committee chair, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Democratic primary candidates remain largely untested in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 1998. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. National generic-ballot trends favoring Democrats have not altered the local fundamentals, leaving traders’ consensus aligned with the district’s structural Republican tilt and the absence of competitive crossover dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MN-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
76%
Parti démocrate
22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$5,762 Vol.
76%
Parti démocrate
$3,794 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a strong advantage in Minnesota’s 6th Congressional District due to its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 2024 general-election margin above 62 percent. Tom Emmer, the sitting representative and former National Republican Congressional Committee chair, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Democratic primary candidates remain largely untested in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 1998. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. National generic-ballot trends favoring Democrats have not altered the local fundamentals, leaving traders’ consensus aligned with the district’s structural Republican tilt and the absence of competitive crossover dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$9,556Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a strong advantage in Minnesota’s 6th Congressional District due to its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 2024 general-election margin above 62 percent. Tom Emmer, the sitting representative and former National Republican Congressional Committee chair, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Democratic primary candidates remain largely untested in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 1998. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. National generic-ballot trends favoring Democrats have not altered the local fundamentals, leaving traders’ consensus aligned with the district’s structural Republican tilt and the absence of competitive crossover dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,556Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a strong advantage in Minnesota’s 6th Congressional District due to its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 2024 general-election margin above 62 percent. Tom Emmer, the sitting representative and former National Republican Congressional Committee chair, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Democratic primary candidates remain largely untested in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 1998. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. National generic-ballot trends favoring Democrats have not altered the local fundamentals, leaving traders’ consensus aligned with the district’s structural Republican tilt and the absence of competitive crossover dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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