State Sen. Eric Pratt's commanding 87% implied probability in the MN-02 Republican primary stems from Tyler Kistner's withdrawal on April 15, 2026, after activation from the Marine Reserves for Middle East deployment, effectively clearing the field ahead of the August 11 primary. As the sole prominent declared GOP candidate—a Prior Lake state senator and former school board chair—Pratt benefits from trader consensus on his path to nomination in the open contest to challenge Democratic incumbent Rep. Angie Craig, who is eyeing a Senate bid. Kistner's camp declined to endorse Pratt over past Trump criticism and legislative record concerns, but his 2.3% share reflects minimal residual support amid no other major challengers. Late entrants or write-ins remain possible uncertainties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$15,766 Vol.
$15,766 Vol.
11 août 2026
Eric Pratt
87%
Tyler Kistner
2%
$15,766 Vol.
$15,766 Vol.
11 août 2026
Eric Pratt
$2,623 Vol.
87%
Tyler Kistner
$13,143 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Eric Pratt's commanding 87% implied probability in the MN-02 Republican primary stems from Tyler Kistner's withdrawal on April 15, 2026, after activation from the Marine Reserves for Middle East deployment, effectively clearing the field ahead of the August 11 primary. As the sole prominent declared GOP candidate—a Prior Lake state senator and former school board chair—Pratt benefits from trader consensus on his path to nomination in the open contest to challenge Democratic incumbent Rep. Angie Craig, who is eyeing a Senate bid. Kistner's camp declined to endorse Pratt over past Trump criticism and legislative record concerns, but his 2.3% share reflects minimal residual support amid no other major challengers. Late entrants or write-ins remain possible uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Volume
$15,766Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Eric Pratt's commanding 87% implied probability in the MN-02 Republican primary stems from Tyler Kistner's withdrawal on April 15, 2026, after activation from the Marine Reserves for Middle East deployment, effectively clearing the field ahead of the August 11 primary. As the sole prominent declared GOP candidate—a Prior Lake state senator and former school board chair—Pratt benefits from trader consensus on his path to nomination in the open contest to challenge Democratic incumbent Rep. Angie Craig, who is eyeing a Senate bid. Kistner's camp declined to endorse Pratt over past Trump criticism and legislative record concerns, but his 2.3% share reflects minimal residual support amid no other major challengers. Late entrants or write-ins remain possible uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$15,766Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Sen. Eric Pratt's commanding 87% implied probability in the MN-02 Republican primary stems from Tyler Kistner's withdrawal on April 15, 2026, after activation from the Marine Reserves for Middle East deployment, effectively clearing the field ahead of the August 11 primary. As the sole prominent declared GOP candidate—a Prior Lake state senator and former school board chair—Pratt benefits from trader consensus on his path to nomination in the open contest to challenge Democratic incumbent Rep. Angie Craig, who is eyeing a Senate bid. Kistner's camp declined to endorse Pratt over past Trump criticism and legislative record concerns, but his 2.3% share reflects minimal residual support amid no other major challengers. Late entrants or write-ins remain possible uncertainties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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