Trader consensus positions Shohei Ohtani as the clear NL Hank Aaron Award favorite at 40.5% implied probability, driven by FanGraphs' Steamer projections crowning him the league's top hitter with elite power and plate discipline, reinforced by his dominant spring training finale striking out 11 batters while honing his swing at Dodger Stadium. Kyle Schwarber's 22% share reflects record-chasing home run forecasts—among the NL's few projected for 40-plus—in the homer-friendly Citizens Bank Park, highlighted by recent spring bombs after his Phillies re-signing as primary DH. Ronald Acuña Jr. (15.4%) gains from strong winter ball and ACL recovery precedent, projecting speed-power upside in Atlanta's leadoff spot, while Juan Soto (13%) benefits from Mets lineup protection and top-three hitter status per ESPN rankings, amid a energized spring shift to left field. No major injuries alter the field as Opening Day nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMLB : 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vainqueur
MLB : 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vainqueur
Shohei Ohtani 41%
Ronald Acuña Jr. 27.7%
Juan Soto 17%
Kyle Schwarber 8%
$114,247 Vol.
$114,247 Vol.
Shohei Ohtani
41%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
28%
Juan Soto
17%
Kyle Schwarber
12%
Mookie Betts
2%
Bryce Harper
1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
1%
Ketel Marte
<1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Shohei Ohtani 41%
Ronald Acuña Jr. 27.7%
Juan Soto 17%
Kyle Schwarber 8%
$114,247 Vol.
$114,247 Vol.
Shohei Ohtani
41%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
28%
Juan Soto
17%
Kyle Schwarber
12%
Mookie Betts
2%
Bryce Harper
1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
1%
Ketel Marte
<1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions Shohei Ohtani as the clear NL Hank Aaron Award favorite at 40.5% implied probability, driven by FanGraphs' Steamer projections crowning him the league's top hitter with elite power and plate discipline, reinforced by his dominant spring training finale striking out 11 batters while honing his swing at Dodger Stadium. Kyle Schwarber's 22% share reflects record-chasing home run forecasts—among the NL's few projected for 40-plus—in the homer-friendly Citizens Bank Park, highlighted by recent spring bombs after his Phillies re-signing as primary DH. Ronald Acuña Jr. (15.4%) gains from strong winter ball and ACL recovery precedent, projecting speed-power upside in Atlanta's leadoff spot, while Juan Soto (13%) benefits from Mets lineup protection and top-three hitter status per ESPN rankings, amid a energized spring shift to left field. No major injuries alter the field as Opening Day nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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