Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award after capturing the 2025 honor with elite power production, bolstered by FanGraphs projections for another massive season in the Dodgers' stacked lineup amid spring training optimism. Ronald Acuña Jr. trails closely at 35%, reflecting his full recovery from prior ACL surgeries, leadoff role restoration with the Braves, and bold forecasts for an MVP-caliber rebound following a strong winter showing. Juan Soto's 17% share stems from high Mets projections (.284 average, 46 HR) post his blockbuster signing, while Kyle Schwarber's 11% nods to his NL-leading home run pace since 2021 as Phillies DH. Preseason models and health updates drive the tight top-four positioning ahead of Opening Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMLB : 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vainqueur
MLB : 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vainqueur
Ronald Acuña Jr. 34.5%
Juan Soto 18%
Kyle Schwarber 8%
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.5%
$111,278 Vol.
$111,278 Vol.
Ronald Acuña Jr.
35%
Juan Soto
18%
Kyle Schwarber
13%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
1%
Mookie Betts
1%
Bryce Harper
1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
<1%
Ketel Marte
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
52%
Ronald Acuña Jr. 34.5%
Juan Soto 18%
Kyle Schwarber 8%
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.5%
$111,278 Vol.
$111,278 Vol.
Ronald Acuña Jr.
35%
Juan Soto
18%
Kyle Schwarber
13%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
1%
Mookie Betts
1%
Bryce Harper
1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
<1%
Ketel Marte
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
52%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award after capturing the 2025 honor with elite power production, bolstered by FanGraphs projections for another massive season in the Dodgers' stacked lineup amid spring training optimism. Ronald Acuña Jr. trails closely at 35%, reflecting his full recovery from prior ACL surgeries, leadoff role restoration with the Braves, and bold forecasts for an MVP-caliber rebound following a strong winter showing. Juan Soto's 17% share stems from high Mets projections (.284 average, 46 HR) post his blockbuster signing, while Kyle Schwarber's 11% nods to his NL-leading home run pace since 2021 as Phillies DH. Preseason models and health updates drive the tight top-four positioning ahead of Opening Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes