Mike Bouchard leads the August 4, 2026, Republican primary for Michigan's 10th Congressional District with an 87.5% implied probability among traders, driven by his strong name recognition as the son of longtime Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, combined with his U.S. Army veteran background and early fundraising advantage. Other candidates, including Robert Lulgjuraj at 8.8%, face challenges from lower visibility despite prosecutorial experience and ad spending. The remaining contenders trail further behind in a field of first-time or lesser-known entrants. Recent campaign finance reports and a Bouchard internal poll showing a wide lead have reinforced this positioning ahead of the filing deadline and primary vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMike Bouchard 88%
Robert Lulgjuraj 6.8%
Casey Armitage 5%
Steven Elliott 4.7%
$10,283 Vol.
$10,283 Vol.
Mike Bouchard
88%
Robert Lulgjuraj
14%
Casey Armitage
5%
Steven Elliott
5%
Justin Kirk
4%
Mike Bouchard 88%
Robert Lulgjuraj 6.8%
Casey Armitage 5%
Steven Elliott 4.7%
$10,283 Vol.
$10,283 Vol.
Mike Bouchard
88%
Robert Lulgjuraj
14%
Casey Armitage
5%
Steven Elliott
5%
Justin Kirk
4%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Bouchard leads the August 4, 2026, Republican primary for Michigan's 10th Congressional District with an 87.5% implied probability among traders, driven by his strong name recognition as the son of longtime Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, combined with his U.S. Army veteran background and early fundraising advantage. Other candidates, including Robert Lulgjuraj at 8.8%, face challenges from lower visibility despite prosecutorial experience and ad spending. The remaining contenders trail further behind in a field of first-time or lesser-known entrants. Recent campaign finance reports and a Bouchard internal poll showing a wide lead have reinforced this positioning ahead of the filing deadline and primary vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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