Mike Bouchard leads the August 4 Republican primary for Michigan’s 10th congressional district with overwhelming trader support, driven by his substantial cash-on-hand advantage from early filings, military service record as an Army veteran, and extensive donor network tied to his father’s political base. Recent campaign finance reports show Bouchard holding roughly $847,000 on hand through March, far outpacing most rivals, while internal polling from February and March placed him ahead of Robert Lulgjuraj by wide margins with large undecided blocs remaining. Lulgjuraj, a former prosecutor with strong Albanian-American donor ties, raised over $1 million but faces May eligibility challenges from opponents over residency filings and petition signatures that could limit ballot access. Lower-polling candidates such as Justin Kirk and Steven Elliott trail in both visibility and resources. Traders appear to weigh Bouchard’s structural edges most heavily ahead of the primary contest.