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Politique·Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine MI-10

icon for Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine MI-10
Politique·Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine MI-10

Mike Bouchard 86%

Robert Lulgjuraj 7.6%

Casey Armitage 5%

Justin Kirk 2.2%

Polymarket

$10,765 Vol.

Mike Bouchard 86%

Robert Lulgjuraj 7.6%

Casey Armitage 5%

Justin Kirk 2.2%

Polymarket

$10,765 Vol.

Mike Bouchard

$2,685 Vol.

86%

Robert Lulgjuraj

$2,426 Vol.

8%

Casey Armitage

$2,575 Vol.

5%

Justin Kirk

$1,070 Vol.

2%

Steven Elliott

$2,008 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mike Bouchard holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Michigan’s 10th Congressional District, an open seat ahead of the August 4 contest, due to substantial early fundraising that draws heavily from donors to his father, longtime Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, combined with his profile as an Army veteran and Bronze Star recipient. Recent reporting has highlighted criticism from rivals over this family network and the younger Bouchard’s limited prior ties to the district. Robert Lulgjuraj, a former Macomb County prosecutor, has raised notable primary funds but faces ongoing ballot eligibility challenges over residency and petition signatures filed by competing campaigns. The remaining candidates trail with far less reported support or visibility. These factors have shaped trader consensus around Bouchard’s strong position entering the final weeks before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,765
Date de fin
4 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mike Bouchard holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Michigan’s 10th Congressional District, an open seat ahead of the August 4 contest, due to substantial early fundraising that draws heavily from donors to his father, longtime Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, combined with his profile as an Army veteran and Bronze Star recipient. Recent reporting has highlighted criticism from rivals over this family network and the younger Bouchard’s limited prior ties to the district. Robert Lulgjuraj, a former Macomb County prosecutor, has raised notable primary funds but faces ongoing ballot eligibility challenges over residency and petition signatures filed by competing campaigns. The remaining candidates trail with far less reported support or visibility. These factors have shaped trader consensus around Bouchard’s strong position entering the final weeks before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,765
Date de fin
4 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine MI-10 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Mike Bouchard » à 86%, suivi de « Robert Lulgjuraj » à 8%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 86¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 86% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine MI-10 » a généré $10.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 18, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine MI-10 », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine MI-10 » est « Mike Bouchard » à 86%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 86% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Robert Lulgjuraj » à 8%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine MI-10 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.