Trader consensus favors Democrats at 58.5% over Republicans at 44.5% to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District, an open R+3 battleground seat after incumbent John James announced his 2026 gubernatorial bid. A March 18 Strategic National poll of the crowded Republican primary showed frontrunner Mike Bouchard at just 29% with 47% undecided or other, signaling potential disunity ahead of the August 4 primaries that could weaken the GOP nominee. Democrats boast strong fundraising, led by Eric Chung's $1.1 million haul, amid a consolidating field with endorsements like Carl Marlinga's for Christina Hines. January hypotheticals indicated tight general matchups, but odds exceed some ratings like Cook's Lean Republican, reflecting trader bets on midterm dynamics and historical closeness (James won 2024 by 6 points). Filing deadline looms April 21.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MI-10
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MI-10
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti démocrate
59%
Parti républicain
42%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
59%
Parti républicain
$206 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Democrats at 58.5% over Republicans at 44.5% to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District, an open R+3 battleground seat after incumbent John James announced his 2026 gubernatorial bid. A March 18 Strategic National poll of the crowded Republican primary showed frontrunner Mike Bouchard at just 29% with 47% undecided or other, signaling potential disunity ahead of the August 4 primaries that could weaken the GOP nominee. Democrats boast strong fundraising, led by Eric Chung's $1.1 million haul, amid a consolidating field with endorsements like Carl Marlinga's for Christina Hines. January hypotheticals indicated tight general matchups, but odds exceed some ratings like Cook's Lean Republican, reflecting trader bets on midterm dynamics and historical closeness (James won 2024 by 6 points). Filing deadline looms April 21.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$206Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Democrats at 58.5% over Republicans at 44.5% to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District, an open R+3 battleground seat after incumbent John James announced his 2026 gubernatorial bid. A March 18 Strategic National poll of the crowded Republican primary showed frontrunner Mike Bouchard at just 29% with 47% undecided or other, signaling potential disunity ahead of the August 4 primaries that could weaken the GOP nominee. Democrats boast strong fundraising, led by Eric Chung's $1.1 million haul, amid a consolidating field with endorsements like Carl Marlinga's for Christina Hines. January hypotheticals indicated tight general matchups, but odds exceed some ratings like Cook's Lean Republican, reflecting trader bets on midterm dynamics and historical closeness (James won 2024 by 6 points). Filing deadline looms April 21.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$206Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrats at 58.5% over Republicans at 44.5% to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District, an open R+3 battleground seat after incumbent John James announced his 2026 gubernatorial bid. A March 18 Strategic National poll of the crowded Republican primary showed frontrunner Mike Bouchard at just 29% with 47% undecided or other, signaling potential disunity ahead of the August 4 primaries that could weaken the GOP nominee. Democrats boast strong fundraising, led by Eric Chung's $1.1 million haul, amid a consolidating field with endorsements like Carl Marlinga's for Christina Hines. January hypotheticals indicated tight general matchups, but odds exceed some ratings like Cook's Lean Republican, reflecting trader bets on midterm dynamics and historical closeness (James won 2024 by 6 points). Filing deadline looms April 21.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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