Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, first elected in 2024 with 51.3 percent of the vote, faces a Republican primary field of three candidates ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, citing the district’s narrow partisan voter index of R+1 and the structural advantages of incumbency in midterm cycles. Trader consensus at 86 percent for Democrats reflects these factors, including Rivet’s early fundraising and the absence of major shifts in polling or endorsements that would alter the competitive baseline. Republicans would need a strong nominee and favorable national conditions to close the gap in this swing district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MI-08
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MI-08
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
86%
Parti républicain
11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$600 Vol.
86%
Parti républicain
$178 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, first elected in 2024 with 51.3 percent of the vote, faces a Republican primary field of three candidates ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, citing the district’s narrow partisan voter index of R+1 and the structural advantages of incumbency in midterm cycles. Trader consensus at 86 percent for Democrats reflects these factors, including Rivet’s early fundraising and the absence of major shifts in polling or endorsements that would alter the competitive baseline. Republicans would need a strong nominee and favorable national conditions to close the gap in this swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ET
Volume
$778Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, first elected in 2024 with 51.3 percent of the vote, faces a Republican primary field of three candidates ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, citing the district’s narrow partisan voter index of R+1 and the structural advantages of incumbency in midterm cycles. Trader consensus at 86 percent for Democrats reflects these factors, including Rivet’s early fundraising and the absence of major shifts in polling or endorsements that would alter the competitive baseline. Republicans would need a strong nominee and favorable national conditions to close the gap in this swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$778Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, first elected in 2024 with 51.3 percent of the vote, faces a Republican primary field of three candidates ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, citing the district’s narrow partisan voter index of R+1 and the structural advantages of incumbency in midterm cycles. Trader consensus at 86 percent for Democrats reflects these factors, including Rivet’s early fundraising and the absence of major shifts in polling or endorsements that would alter the competitive baseline. Republicans would need a strong nominee and favorable national conditions to close the gap in this swing district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes