Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland's 2nd congressional district in the June 2026 primary, facing Republican nominee Dave Wallace in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior election margins and partisan composition across Baltimore and Carroll County areas, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic candidate. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Limited Republican primary competition and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district's fundamentals reinforce this positioning. A shift would require substantial national political realignment, significant candidate-specific events, or unusually high turnout changes in the remaining campaign period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MD-02
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MD-02
$12,812 Vol.
$12,812 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
6%
$12,812 Vol.
$12,812 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$10,118 Vol.
93%
Parti républicain
$2,694 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland's 2nd congressional district in the June 2026 primary, facing Republican nominee Dave Wallace in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior election margins and partisan composition across Baltimore and Carroll County areas, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic candidate. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Limited Republican primary competition and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district's fundamentals reinforce this positioning. A shift would require substantial national political realignment, significant candidate-specific events, or unusually high turnout changes in the remaining campaign period.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$12,812Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland's 2nd congressional district in the June 2026 primary, facing Republican nominee Dave Wallace in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior election margins and partisan composition across Baltimore and Carroll County areas, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic candidate. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Limited Republican primary competition and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district's fundamentals reinforce this positioning. A shift would require substantial national political realignment, significant candidate-specific events, or unusually high turnout changes in the remaining campaign period.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,812Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland's 2nd congressional district in the June 2026 primary, facing Republican nominee Dave Wallace in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior election margins and partisan composition across Baltimore and Carroll County areas, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic candidate. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Limited Republican primary competition and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district's fundamentals reinforce this positioning. A shift would require substantial national political realignment, significant candidate-specific events, or unusually high turnout changes in the remaining campaign period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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