Jannik Sinner leads trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability as world No. 1 and top seed following his breakthrough Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters title last week, where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz 7-6(5), 6-3 in the final for his first clay-court Masters 1000 crown. Alcaraz's injury withdrawal opens Sinner's path on the high-altitude clay at Caja Magica, bolstered by his 73% career clay win rate and recent dominance in deciding sets. Challengers like Arthur Fils (49.4%), fresh off a Barcelona title run, Grigor Dimitrov (49.3%), Ben Shelton (49.2%) with strong clay momentum, and Daniil Medvedev (49.1%) cluster around 49% due to favorable seeding, recent form, and draw positions amid a wide-open field post-draw release on April 20, though all face hurdles against Sinner's serving edge and baseline prowess.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOpen de Madrid 2026 : vainqueur du simple messieurs
Open de Madrid 2026 : vainqueur du simple messieurs
Čilić, Marin 98%
Darderi, Luciano 98%
de Jong, Jesper 98%
Baez, Sebastian 98%
Čilić, Marin
98%
Darderi, Luciano
98%
de Jong, Jesper
98%
Baez, Sebastian
98%
Buse, Ignacio
98%
Cerúndolo, Francisco
98%
Diallo, Gabriel
98%
Fearnley, Jacob
98%
Fonseca, João
98%
Landaluce, Martín
98%
Macháč, Tomáš
98%
Menšík, Jakub
98%
Monfils, Gaël
98%
Ofner, Sebastian
98%
Paul, Tommy
98%
Auger-Aliassime, Félix
98%
Bublik, Alexander
98%
Carreño Busta, Pablo
98%
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel
98%
Cobolli, Flavio
98%
Comesaña, Francisco
98%
Davidovich Fokina, Alejandro
98%
Griekspoor, Tallon
98%
Humbert, Ugo
98%
Jódar, Rafael
98%
Lehečka, Jiří
98%
Mannarino, Adrian
98%
Michelsen, Alex
98%
Moutet, Corentin
98%
Munar, Jaume
98%
Norrie, Cameron
98%
Opelka, Reilly
98%
Popyrin, Alexei
98%
Struff, Jan-Lennard
98%
Tien, Learner
98%
Vacherot, Valentin
98%
Walton, Adam
98%
Džumhur, Damir
98%
Hanfmann, Yannick
98%
Hurkacz, Hubert
98%
Khachanov, Karen
98%
Marozsan, Fabian
98%
Müller, Alexandre
98%
Nava, Emilio
98%
Quinn, Ethan
98%
Shevchenko, Alexander
98%
Collignon, Raphael
97%
Musetti, Lorenzo
97%
Etcheverry, Tomás Martín
97%
Nakashima, Brandon
97%
Shapovalov, Denis
97%
Tabilo, Alejandro
97%
Sinner, Jannik
70%
Rublev, Andrey
53%
Rinderknech, Arthur
52%
Bellucci, Mattia
50%
Bergs, Zizou
50%
Brooksby, Jenson
50%
Altmaier, Daniel
50%
Bautista Agut, Roberto
50%
Berrettini, Matteo
50%
Blockx, Alexander
50%
Tsitsipas, Stefanos
50%
Sonego, Lorenzo
50%
Tirante, Thiago Agustín
50%
Ugo Carabelli, Camilo
50%
van de Zandschulp, Botic
50%
Zhang, Zhizhen
50%
Atmane, Terence
49%
Zverev, Alexander
48%
Kopřiva, Vít
34%
Dimitrov, Grigor
25%
Fils, Arthur
25%
Medvedev, Daniil
25%
de Minaur, Alex
25%
Shelton, Ben
23%
Ruud, Casper
20%
Čilić, Marin 98%
Darderi, Luciano 98%
de Jong, Jesper 98%
Baez, Sebastian 98%
Čilić, Marin
98%
Darderi, Luciano
98%
de Jong, Jesper
98%
Baez, Sebastian
98%
Buse, Ignacio
98%
Cerúndolo, Francisco
98%
Diallo, Gabriel
98%
Fearnley, Jacob
98%
Fonseca, João
98%
Landaluce, Martín
98%
Macháč, Tomáš
98%
Menšík, Jakub
98%
Monfils, Gaël
98%
Ofner, Sebastian
98%
Paul, Tommy
98%
Auger-Aliassime, Félix
98%
Bublik, Alexander
98%
Carreño Busta, Pablo
98%
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel
98%
Cobolli, Flavio
98%
Comesaña, Francisco
98%
Davidovich Fokina, Alejandro
98%
Griekspoor, Tallon
98%
Humbert, Ugo
98%
Jódar, Rafael
98%
Lehečka, Jiří
98%
Mannarino, Adrian
98%
Michelsen, Alex
98%
Moutet, Corentin
98%
Munar, Jaume
98%
Norrie, Cameron
98%
Opelka, Reilly
98%
Popyrin, Alexei
98%
Struff, Jan-Lennard
98%
Tien, Learner
98%
Vacherot, Valentin
98%
Walton, Adam
98%
Džumhur, Damir
98%
Hanfmann, Yannick
98%
Hurkacz, Hubert
98%
Khachanov, Karen
98%
Marozsan, Fabian
98%
Müller, Alexandre
98%
Nava, Emilio
98%
Quinn, Ethan
98%
Shevchenko, Alexander
98%
Collignon, Raphael
97%
Musetti, Lorenzo
97%
Etcheverry, Tomás Martín
97%
Nakashima, Brandon
97%
Shapovalov, Denis
97%
Tabilo, Alejandro
97%
Sinner, Jannik
70%
Rublev, Andrey
53%
Rinderknech, Arthur
52%
Bellucci, Mattia
50%
Bergs, Zizou
50%
Brooksby, Jenson
50%
Altmaier, Daniel
50%
Bautista Agut, Roberto
50%
Berrettini, Matteo
50%
Blockx, Alexander
50%
Tsitsipas, Stefanos
50%
Sonego, Lorenzo
50%
Tirante, Thiago Agustín
50%
Ugo Carabelli, Camilo
50%
van de Zandschulp, Botic
50%
Zhang, Zhizhen
50%
Atmane, Terence
49%
Zverev, Alexander
48%
Kopřiva, Vít
34%
Dimitrov, Grigor
25%
Fils, Arthur
25%
Medvedev, Daniil
25%
de Minaur, Alex
25%
Shelton, Ben
23%
Ruud, Casper
20%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 20, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jannik Sinner leads trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability as world No. 1 and top seed following his breakthrough Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters title last week, where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz 7-6(5), 6-3 in the final for his first clay-court Masters 1000 crown. Alcaraz's injury withdrawal opens Sinner's path on the high-altitude clay at Caja Magica, bolstered by his 73% career clay win rate and recent dominance in deciding sets. Challengers like Arthur Fils (49.4%), fresh off a Barcelona title run, Grigor Dimitrov (49.3%), Ben Shelton (49.2%) with strong clay momentum, and Daniil Medvedev (49.1%) cluster around 49% due to favorable seeding, recent form, and draw positions amid a wide-open field post-draw release on April 20, though all face hurdles against Sinner's serving edge and baseline prowess.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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