The Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down the current map for Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting the cancellation of planned partisan primaries and a shift to a November 3 jungle primary with a potential December runoff. This change has altered the district’s composition ahead of the 2026 contest, where Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields faces Republican challengers including Monique Appeaning. The decision has shifted trader consensus toward Republican victory, reflecting the district’s revised electoral math and reduced Democratic structural advantage. No major new polling or candidate announcements have emerged in recent weeks to alter that positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
LA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$57,968 Vol.
$57,968 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
76%
Parti démocrate
21%
$57,968 Vol.
$57,968 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$31,454 Vol.
76%
Parti démocrate
$26,514 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down the current map for Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting the cancellation of planned partisan primaries and a shift to a November 3 jungle primary with a potential December runoff. This change has altered the district’s composition ahead of the 2026 contest, where Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields faces Republican challengers including Monique Appeaning. The decision has shifted trader consensus toward Republican victory, reflecting the district’s revised electoral math and reduced Democratic structural advantage. No major new polling or candidate announcements have emerged in recent weeks to alter that positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$57,968Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down the current map for Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting the cancellation of planned partisan primaries and a shift to a November 3 jungle primary with a potential December runoff. This change has altered the district’s composition ahead of the 2026 contest, where Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields faces Republican challengers including Monique Appeaning. The decision has shifted trader consensus toward Republican victory, reflecting the district’s revised electoral math and reduced Democratic structural advantage. No major new polling or candidate announcements have emerged in recent weeks to alter that positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$57,968Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down the current map for Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting the cancellation of planned partisan primaries and a shift to a November 3 jungle primary with a potential December runoff. This change has altered the district’s composition ahead of the 2026 contest, where Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields faces Republican challengers including Monique Appeaning. The decision has shifted trader consensus toward Republican victory, reflecting the district’s revised electoral math and reduced Democratic structural advantage. No major new polling or candidate announcements have emerged in recent weeks to alter that positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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