The Democratic Party commands 91% trader consensus as winner of the LA-06 House election on Polymarket, driven by decisive election night results from November 5 showing their candidate with a double-digit margin in vote tallies, bolstered by strong early voting and absentee ballot turnout in key precincts. Louisiana's jungle primary system earlier cleared a crowded field without a runoff, leaving the general matchup lopsided amid weak Republican ground game and local enthusiasm for the Democratic platform on economic issues. Final certification by state election officials remains pending, but traders price Republican comeback odds at 8% reflecting slim paths like successful recount requests, court challenges to provisional ballots, or late-counted absentee ballots uncovering irregularities—scenarios hampered by the incumbent-free race's clear electoral math.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
LA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti démocrate
91%
Parti républicain
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
91%
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party commands 91% trader consensus as winner of the LA-06 House election on Polymarket, driven by decisive election night results from November 5 showing their candidate with a double-digit margin in vote tallies, bolstered by strong early voting and absentee ballot turnout in key precincts. Louisiana's jungle primary system earlier cleared a crowded field without a runoff, leaving the general matchup lopsided amid weak Republican ground game and local enthusiasm for the Democratic platform on economic issues. Final certification by state election officials remains pending, but traders price Republican comeback odds at 8% reflecting slim paths like successful recount requests, court challenges to provisional ballots, or late-counted absentee ballots uncovering irregularities—scenarios hampered by the incumbent-free race's clear electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party commands 91% trader consensus as winner of the LA-06 House election on Polymarket, driven by decisive election night results from November 5 showing their candidate with a double-digit margin in vote tallies, bolstered by strong early voting and absentee ballot turnout in key precincts. Louisiana's jungle primary system earlier cleared a crowded field without a runoff, leaving the general matchup lopsided amid weak Republican ground game and local enthusiasm for the Democratic platform on economic issues. Final certification by state election officials remains pending, but traders price Republican comeback odds at 8% reflecting slim paths like successful recount requests, court challenges to provisional ballots, or late-counted absentee ballots uncovering irregularities—scenarios hampered by the incumbent-free race's clear electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party commands 91% trader consensus as winner of the LA-06 House election on Polymarket, driven by decisive election night results from November 5 showing their candidate with a double-digit margin in vote tallies, bolstered by strong early voting and absentee ballot turnout in key precincts. Louisiana's jungle primary system earlier cleared a crowded field without a runoff, leaving the general matchup lopsided amid weak Republican ground game and local enthusiasm for the Democratic platform on economic issues. Final certification by state election officials remains pending, but traders price Republican comeback odds at 8% reflecting slim paths like successful recount requests, court challenges to provisional ballots, or late-counted absentee ballots uncovering irregularities—scenarios hampered by the incumbent-free race's clear electoral math.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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