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Politique·Primaire De Louisiane

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politique·Primaire De Louisiane

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

Blake Miguez 82%

Austin Magee 8.7%

Michael Mebruer 8.7%

Misti Cordell 8.6%

Polymarket
NEW

$28,107 Vol.

Blake Miguez 82%

Austin Magee 8.7%

Michael Mebruer 8.7%

Misti Cordell 8.6%

Polymarket
NEW

$28,107 Vol.

Blake Miguez

$14,990 Vol.

82%

Austin Magee

$17 Vol.

9%

Michael Mebruer

$17 Vol.

9%

Misti Cordell

$17 Vol.

9%

Rick Edmonds

$17 Vol.

8%

Samuel Wyatt

$5,025 Vol.

5%

Michael Echols

$8,021 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Blake Miguez dominates trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability in the LA-05 Republican primary due to his early February switch from a U.S. Senate bid, President Trump's endorsement as a "MAGA fighter," and dominant fundraising with over $4.7 million raised and $3.6 million cash on hand as of late 2025. This open seat race, vacated by Rep. Julia Letlow's Senate challenge, features a crowded field including Rick Edmonds, Misti Cordell, and others trading around 8-9%, reflecting Miguez's state Senate incumbency and name recognition in the solidly Republican (R+18) district. A March 20 candidate forum in Caldwell Parish highlighted priorities but showed no polling shifts; residency questions linger but have not dented his lead ahead of the May 16 closed primary and potential June 27 runoff.

Blake Miguez dominates trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability in the LA-05 Republican primary due to his early February switch from a U.S. Senate bid, President Trump's endorsement as a "MAGA fighter," and dominant fundraising with over $4.7 million raised and $3.6 million cash on hand as of late 2025. This open seat race, vacated by Rep. Julia Letlow's Senate challenge, features a crowded field including Rick Edmonds, Misti Cordell, and others trading around 8-9%, reflecting Miguez's state Senate incumbency and name recognition in the solidly Republican (R+18) district. A March 20 candidate forum in Caldwell Parish highlighted priorities but showed no polling shifts; residency questions linger but have not dented his lead ahead of the May 16 closed primary and potential June 27 runoff.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Blake Miguez dominates trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability in the LA-05 Republican primary due to his early February switch from a U.S. Senate bid, President Trump's endorsement as a "MAGA fighter," and dominant fundraising with over $4.7 million raised and $3.6 million cash on hand as of late 2025. This open seat race, vacated by Rep. Julia Letlow's Senate challenge, features a crowded field including Rick Edmonds, Misti Cordell, and others trading around 8-9%, reflecting Miguez's state Senate incumbency and name recognition in the solidly Republican (R+18) district. A March 20 candidate forum in Caldwell Parish highlighted priorities but showed no polling shifts; residency questions linger but have not dented his lead ahead of the May 16 closed primary and potential June 27 runoff.

Blake Miguez dominates trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability in the LA-05 Republican primary due to his early February switch from a U.S. Senate bid, President Trump's endorsement as a "MAGA fighter," and dominant fundraising with over $4.7 million raised and $3.6 million cash on hand as of late 2025. This open seat race, vacated by Rep. Julia Letlow's Senate challenge, features a crowded field including Rick Edmonds, Misti Cordell, and others trading around 8-9%, reflecting Miguez's state Senate incumbency and name recognition in the solidly Republican (R+18) district. A March 20 candidate forum in Caldwell Parish highlighted priorities but showed no polling shifts; residency questions linger but have not dented his lead ahead of the May 16 closed primary and potential June 27 runoff.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« LA-05 Republican Primary Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Blake Miguez » à 82%, suivi de « Austin Magee » à 9%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 82¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 82% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « LA-05 Republican Primary Winner » a généré $28.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 26, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « LA-05 Republican Primary Winner », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « LA-05 Republican Primary Winner » est « Blake Miguez » à 82%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 82% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Austin Magee » à 9%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « LA-05 Republican Primary Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.