Name: Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Tuesday?
Start: 2024-12-30T12:00:00.000Z
End: 2024-12-30T12:00:00.000Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai win their "Playing Fortnite Until we get a Win⛏️ ft. Kai Cenat" challenge by 11:59 PM ET on December 30, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the stream on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

If the challenge is cancelled or abandoned before completion, this market will resolve to "No".

Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Tuesday?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe.

For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated.

For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship, currently scheduled for October 13, 2025, to February 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player is eliminated from the championship under the tournament's official rules, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Chess.com, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used in case of discrepancies.

If the winner is not announced by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Magnus Carlsen va-t-il gagner le Championnat d'Échecs rapide 2025–2026 ?

This market will resolve to "Akave Esports Black" if Akave Esports Black win against KRÜ Blaze in the named Valorant match.

This market will resolve to "KRÜ Blaze" if KRÜ Blaze win against Akave Esports Black in the Valorant match.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from liquipedia: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Main_Page

Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs KRÜ Blaze (BO5)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any weekly bar in the Kaito “Mindshare over time (L12M)” chart reaches a new all-time high at any point between November 19 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. If no new all-time high occurs, the market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is the creator’s page on Kaito. The weekly bar chart can be viewed by clicking the creator’s name at: https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/ct-leaderboard

A weekly bar counts as long as its date range includes the target date. A weekly bar is considered finalized once a bar for the following week is published.

Only the weekly values shown in the L12M chart are used for resolution.

If the Kaito page is temporarily unavailable at resolution time, the market will remain open until it returns. If it becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve to “No.”


mert atteindra-t-il un niveau record de part de marché d'ici le 31 mars ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if during Super Bowl LX, all of the following occur:

-Drake Maye throws 2 or more passing touchdowns

-Sam Darnold throws 2 or more passing touchdowns

-Jaxon Smith-Njigba records 6 or more receptions

-Kenneth Walker III records 1 or more touchdowns (rushing or receiving)

-Rhamondre Stevenson records 80 or more rushing yards

-Rhamondre Stevenson records 1 or more touchdowns (rushing or receiving)

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If this game is canceled, postponed past February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to “No”.

If a listed player does not participate in Super Bowl LX, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com

Championnat de football professionnel : Parlay « Santa Clara Shootout »

This market will resolve to the team that wins the LCK Cup 2026 scheduled for Jan 14 - March 1.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the LCK Cup 2026 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the LCK Cup 2026 is cancelled, postponed after March 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/LCK/2026/Cup). 

Will Gen.G win the LCK Cup 2026?

Super Bowl LX is scheduled to take place on February 8, 2026, 6:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term at any point between kickoff and the conclusion of this game during its official broadcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Plural or possessive versions of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of the context of their use.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

If the start of this game is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond February 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated content will not count towards the resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the official NBC broadcast of this game.

Will "Olympics" or "Olympic" be said at the Super Bowl?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) 2026 season playoffs.

If the 2026 LCK season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Gen.G Esports remportera-t-elle les séries éliminatoires de la saison LCK 2026 ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Posts include any post, repost, or reply.

The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.

Will Kanye tweet again by February 28?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if during Super Bowl LX, all of the following occur:

-Kenneth Walker III records 100 or more rushing yards

-No New England Patriots player records 50 or more rushing yards

-Neither team records a fumble

-Sam Darnold and Drake Maye each throw one or more interceptions

-The New England Patriots win in regulation or overtime

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If this game is canceled, postponed past February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to “No”.

If a listed player does not participate in Super Bowl LX, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com.

Championnat de football professionnel : Parlay 'Déjà Vu'

This market will resolve to “Yes” if during Super Bowl LX, all of the following occur:

-Drake Maye records 200 or more passing yards

-Stefon Diggs records 40 or more receiving yards

-Sam Darnold records 1 or more interceptions

-The New England Patriots win in regulation or overtime

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If this game is canceled, postponed past February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to “No”.

If a listed player does not participate in Super Bowl LX, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com.

Championnat de football professionnel : Parlay « Dynastie NE »

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Super Bowl LX goes to overtime under official NFL rules.

This market will resolve to “No” if Super Bowl LX is decided in regulation time and does not go to overtime.

“Overtime” is defined according to official NFL rules and includes any additional period(s) played after the end of regulation to determine a winner.

If Super Bowl LX is cancelled or postponed after February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it is not determined within that timeframe whether overtime occurred, this market will resolve to 50–50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Championnat de football professionnel : prolongation ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends 2026 LEC Versus.

If the 2026 LEC Versus is postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

G2 Esports va-t-il gagner le LEC 2026 Versus ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. 

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

Mercedes sera-t-elle le champion des constructeurs de la Formule 1 en 2026 ?

The market will resolve to "Yes" if Sebastian "Forsen" Fors is officially announced as the sole MVP or co-MVP of the NLC 2026 Winter Split. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve to “No” when it becomes impossible for Forsen to win the MVP.

This market will resolve to “No” if no MVP has been officially announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official NLC channels and Riot Games; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Forsen sera-t-il le MVP du Split d’Hiver NLC 2026 ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Est-ce qu’un modèle GPT d’OpenAI obtiendra au moins 45 % à l’examen FrontierMath ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any two or more of the former members of FaZe Clan known as Adapt, Lacy, Silky, Stable Ronaldo, and/or JasonTheWeen form a new professional organization together by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

A qualifying organization must involve an indefinite formal partnership, including but not limited to a registered business, esports organization, streaming cooperative, or a shared content brand (e.g., a shared YouTube channel). Social media appearances, joint streams, one-off projects, or other forms of temporary or informal collaborations will not qualify.

Official announcements from the listed former FaZe Clan members that they have launched or are officially launching a new organization together will be sufficient to resolve this market. Social media posts or statements made on streams will count as long as they signify a qualifying formal launch. Suggestions, comments, or statements of tentative plans yet to be made official will not count.

The primary resolution source will be information from the listed people and/or the relevant organizations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Les anciens membres de FaZe forment-ils une nouvelle organisation d'ici le 31 mars ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift's marriage takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resole to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Taylor Swift et Travis Kelce se marient-ils avant le 30 juin ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use


Microsoft va-t-il acquérir TikTok ?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NFL Player.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NFL Player, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Saquon Barkley win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NFL Player?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

L'Arizona va-t-elle gagner le tournoi NCAA 2026 ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Est-ce qu’un modèle Claude d’Anthropic obtiendra au moins 40 % à l’examen FrontierMath ?

This market will resolve according to the exact outcome of Super Bowl LX. 

If Super Bowl LX has not been completed by February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". 

If at any point it becomes impossible for this exact outcome to occur in Super Bowl LX based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. one team is eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.

Seattle va-t-il battre la Nouvelle-Angleterre au Super Bowl LX ?

This polymarket will resolve to the team that wins the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament.

The market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed pair wins the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this pair to win the tournament per the official rules of the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Harri Heliovaara and Henry Patten win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

George Russell sera-t-il le champion des pilotes de F1 en 2026 ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is played last by any performer during the Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Tuesday?

Contexte du Marché

Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Tuesday?

Règles

Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Tuesday?

Contexte du Marché

Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Tuesday?

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