US and Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, targeted Iran's nuclear facilities at Natanz, Isfahan, and related sites, destroying aboveground enrichment infrastructure and extending the nuclear breakout time to 1-3 months per recent estimates, as IAEA reports confirm no radiation increases or operational restarts. Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including Iran's April 8 indication of willingness to relinquish 400+ kg of 60% enriched uranium stockpiles under a potential ceasefire framework, have prioritized regime survival over weaponization amid economic sanctions and military pressure. IAEA Director Grossi noted no diversion to bombs, with talks via Oman stalling but resuming, anchoring trader consensus at 88.5% against a nuclear weapon before 2027 despite hardliner rhetoric.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$513,395 Vol.
$513,395 Vol.
Oui
$513,395 Vol.
$513,395 Vol.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Marché ouvert : Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, targeted Iran's nuclear facilities at Natanz, Isfahan, and related sites, destroying aboveground enrichment infrastructure and extending the nuclear breakout time to 1-3 months per recent estimates, as IAEA reports confirm no radiation increases or operational restarts. Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including Iran's April 8 indication of willingness to relinquish 400+ kg of 60% enriched uranium stockpiles under a potential ceasefire framework, have prioritized regime survival over weaponization amid economic sanctions and military pressure. IAEA Director Grossi noted no diversion to bombs, with talks via Oman stalling but resuming, anchoring trader consensus at 88.5% against a nuclear weapon before 2027 despite hardliner rhetoric.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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