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Combien de sièges le Partido Popular remportera-t-il à l'élection de Castilla y Leon ?

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Combien de sièges le Partido Popular remportera-t-il à l'élection de Castilla y Leon ?

32-35 59%

28-31 37%

36-39 8.2%

Moins de 28 6%

Polymarket
NEW

32-35 59%

28-31 37%

36-39 8.2%

Moins de 28 6%

Polymarket
NEW

Moins de 28

$1,266 Vol.

6%

28-31

$1,596 Vol.

37%

32-35

$2,655 Vol.

59%

36-39

$1,072 Vol.

8%

40-43

$1,171 Vol.

<1%

44+

$485 Vol.

1%

Elections for the autonomous community of Castilla y Leon’s unicameral legislature (Cortes) are scheduled for March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by Partido Popular (PP) in the Cortes of Castilla y Leon as a result of this election.

Any regional branch of Partido Popular will be considered to be the same as Partido Popular.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular in this election.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Volume
$8,245
Date de fin
Mar 15, 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 23, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
Elections for the autonomous community of Castilla y Leon’s unicameral legislature (Cortes) are scheduled for March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by Partido Popular (PP) in the Cortes of Castilla y Leon as a result of this election. Any regional branch of Partido Popular will be considered to be the same as Partido Popular. If the results of this election are not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Combien de sièges le Partido Popular remportera-t-il à l'élection de Castilla y Leon ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "32-35" at 59%, followed by "28-31" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Combien de sièges le Partido Popular remportera-t-il à l'élection de Castilla y Leon ?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Combien de sièges le Partido Popular remportera-t-il à l'élection de Castilla y Leon ?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Combien de sièges le Partido Popular remportera-t-il à l'élection de Castilla y Leon ?" is "32-35" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "28-31" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Combien de sièges le Partido Popular remportera-t-il à l'élection de Castilla y Leon ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.