USGS seismic monitoring confirms eight global earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater from April 13 through late April 18, 2026, including a M5.7 near Silver Springs, Nevada on April 14; M5.5 near Tonga and Northern Mariana Islands on April 13-14; M5.5 on the Carlsberg Ridge on April 17; and a cluster on April 18 featuring M5.7 west of Gunungsitoli, Indonesia, M5.8 near Solomon Islands, and M5.9 south of Kermadec Islands. This tally, amid ongoing tectonic activity along Pacific subduction zones, drives the 84.5% market-implied probability for >9, aligning with historical weekly averages of 10-15 such events worldwide per USGS catalogs. Final hours of the April 19 window and potential magnitude revisions leave minor uncertainty, with next catalog updates imminent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCombien de tremblements de terre de 5,5 ou plus du 13 avril au 19 avril ?
Combien de tremblements de terre de 5,5 ou plus du 13 avril au 19 avril ?
>9 84%
9 13.6%
≤3 1.0%
7 <1%
$175,091 Vol.
$175,091 Vol.
19 avr. 2026
≤3
1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
<1%
7
1%
8
<1%
9
14%
>9
84%
>9 84%
9 13.6%
≤3 1.0%
7 <1%
$175,091 Vol.
$175,091 Vol.
19 avr. 2026
≤3
$94,758 Vol.
1%
4
$13,406 Vol.
<1%
5
$7,356 Vol.
<1%
6
$6,440 Vol.
<1%
7
$5,783 Vol.
1%
8
$6,611 Vol.
<1%
9
$5,781 Vol.
14%
>9
$34,956 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS seismic monitoring confirms eight global earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater from April 13 through late April 18, 2026, including a M5.7 near Silver Springs, Nevada on April 14; M5.5 near Tonga and Northern Mariana Islands on April 13-14; M5.5 on the Carlsberg Ridge on April 17; and a cluster on April 18 featuring M5.7 west of Gunungsitoli, Indonesia, M5.8 near Solomon Islands, and M5.9 south of Kermadec Islands. This tally, amid ongoing tectonic activity along Pacific subduction zones, drives the 84.5% market-implied probability for >9, aligning with historical weekly averages of 10-15 such events worldwide per USGS catalogs. Final hours of the April 19 window and potential magnitude revisions leave minor uncertainty, with next catalog updates imminent.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Marché ouvert : Apr 10, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volume
$175,091Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 10, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS seismic monitoring confirms eight global earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater from April 13 through late April 18, 2026, including a M5.7 near Silver Springs, Nevada on April 14; M5.5 near Tonga and Northern Mariana Islands on April 13-14; M5.5 on the Carlsberg Ridge on April 17; and a cluster on April 18 featuring M5.7 west of Gunungsitoli, Indonesia, M5.8 near Solomon Islands, and M5.9 south of Kermadec Islands. This tally, amid ongoing tectonic activity along Pacific subduction zones, drives the 84.5% market-implied probability for >9, aligning with historical weekly averages of 10-15 such events worldwide per USGS catalogs. Final hours of the April 19 window and potential magnitude revisions leave minor uncertainty, with next catalog updates imminent.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$175,091Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 10, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...USGS seismic monitoring confirms eight global earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater from April 13 through late April 18, 2026, including a M5.7 near Silver Springs, Nevada on April 14; M5.5 near Tonga and Northern Mariana Islands on April 13-14; M5.5 on the Carlsberg Ridge on April 17; and a cluster on April 18 featuring M5.7 west of Gunungsitoli, Indonesia, M5.8 near Solomon Islands, and M5.9 south of Kermadec Islands. This tally, amid ongoing tectonic activity along Pacific subduction zones, drives the 84.5% market-implied probability for >9, aligning with historical weekly averages of 10-15 such events worldwide per USGS catalogs. Final hours of the April 19 window and potential magnitude revisions leave minor uncertainty, with next catalog updates imminent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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