Ensemble forecasts from leading models including ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France project Paris's highest temperature on April 1 at around 13°C, with overcast conditions and northwest winds capping solar heating and limiting peaks to 12–14°C, aligning with the market's trader consensus of 58.5% implied probability for 13°C and 33% for 12°C. Morning observations show starting temperatures near 8–10°C amid patchy clouds and light precipitation, consistent with a cool post-frontal air mass over western Europe. This clusters odds tightly around these outcomes, below the April climatological average high of 14°C. Météo-France hourly updates and Charles de Gaulle Airport measurements through late afternoon will provide final confirmation, as short-range nowcasts carry inherent uncertainty from variable cloud breaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on April 1?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 1?
13°C 66%
12°C 27%
14°C 12%
11°C 1.8%
$64,191 Vol.
$64,191 Vol.
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
27%
13°C
66%
14°C
12%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 66%
12°C 27%
14°C 12%
11°C 1.8%
$64,191 Vol.
$64,191 Vol.
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
27%
13°C
66%
14°C
12%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from leading models including ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France project Paris's highest temperature on April 1 at around 13°C, with overcast conditions and northwest winds capping solar heating and limiting peaks to 12–14°C, aligning with the market's trader consensus of 58.5% implied probability for 13°C and 33% for 12°C. Morning observations show starting temperatures near 8–10°C amid patchy clouds and light precipitation, consistent with a cool post-frontal air mass over western Europe. This clusters odds tightly around these outcomes, below the April climatological average high of 14°C. Météo-France hourly updates and Charles de Gaulle Airport measurements through late afternoon will provide final confirmation, as short-range nowcasts carry inherent uncertainty from variable cloud breaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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