Latest Météo-France forecasts, updated within the past 24 hours, project Paris's highest temperature on April 1 at around 13°C, driven by persistent low-level cloud cover suppressing daytime heating despite mild seasonal norms. This aligns with trader consensus, assigning 45% implied probability to 13°C and 27.5% to 12°C, reflecting model agreement on limited solar insolation amid stable high-pressure influences. Early morning observations show temperatures starting near 8°C with overcast skies, consistent with historical early-April highs averaging 13°C. Uncertainties remain in afternoon cloud breaks or southerly winds that could push toward 14°C; real-time data from official stations like Paris-Montsouris will refine outcomes as the day progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on April 1?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 1?
13°C 48%
12°C 28%
14°C 11%
11°C 10.4%
$46,877 Vol.
$46,877 Vol.
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
10%
12°C
28%
13°C
48%
14°C
11%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 48%
12°C 28%
14°C 11%
11°C 10.4%
$46,877 Vol.
$46,877 Vol.
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
10%
12°C
28%
13°C
48%
14°C
11%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France forecasts, updated within the past 24 hours, project Paris's highest temperature on April 1 at around 13°C, driven by persistent low-level cloud cover suppressing daytime heating despite mild seasonal norms. This aligns with trader consensus, assigning 45% implied probability to 13°C and 27.5% to 12°C, reflecting model agreement on limited solar insolation amid stable high-pressure influences. Early morning observations show temperatures starting near 8°C with overcast skies, consistent with historical early-April highs averaging 13°C. Uncertainties remain in afternoon cloud breaks or southerly winds that could push toward 14°C; real-time data from official stations like Paris-Montsouris will refine outcomes as the day progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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