Market icon

Grok 4.20 sorti le... ?

Market icon

Grok 4.20 sorti le... ?

Aucune sortie d'ici le 31 janvier 100.0%

29 décembre <1%

30 décembre <1%

31 décembre <1%

Polymarket

$786,219 Vol.

Aucune sortie d'ici le 31 janvier 100.0%

29 décembre <1%

30 décembre <1%

31 décembre <1%

Polymarket

$786,219 Vol.

29 décembre

$320 Vol.

Non

30 décembre

$7,929 Vol.

Non

31 décembre

$3,899 Vol.

Non

1er janvier

$8,456 Vol.

Non

2 janvier

$3,884 Vol.

Non

3 janvier

$9,975 Vol.

Non

4 janvier

$14,876 Vol.

Non

5 janvier

$16,336 Vol.

Non

6 janvier

$5,381 Vol.

Non

7 janvier

$15,979 Vol.

Non

8 janvier

$14,798 Vol.

Non

9 janvier

$5,332 Vol.

Non

10 janvier

$17,240 Vol.

Non

11 janvier

$12,313 Vol.

Non

12 janvier

$12,256 Vol.

Non

13 janvier

$5,212 Vol.

Non

14 janvier

$2,675 Vol.

Non

15 janvier

$9,576 Vol.

Non

16 janvier

$13,610 Vol.

Non

17 janvier

$17,451 Vol.

Non

18 janvier

$19,157 Vol.

Non

19 janvier

$22,871 Vol.

Non

20 janvier

$33,013 Vol.

Non

21 janvier

$43,597 Vol.

Non

22 janvier

$30,696 Vol.

Non

23 janvier

$40,103 Vol.

Non

24 janvier

$26,185 Vol.

Non

25 janvier

$21,300 Vol.

Non

26 janvier

$44,405 Vol.

Non

27 janvier

$46,720 Vol.

Non

28 janvier

$42,973 Vol.

Non

29 janvier

$34,048 Vol.

Non

30 janvier

$45,980 Vol.

Non

31 janvier

$31,549 Vol.

Non

Aucune sortie d'ici le 31 janvier

$106,124 Vol.

Oui

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.

This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.

Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$786,219
Date de fin
Jan 31, 2026
Créé le
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Grok 4.20 sorti le... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aucune sortie d'ici le 31 janvier" at 100%, followed by "29 décembre" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Grok 4.20 sorti le... ?" has generated $786.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Grok 4.20 sorti le... ?," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Grok 4.20 sorti le... ?" is "Aucune sortie d'ici le 31 janvier" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "29 décembre" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Grok 4.20 sorti le... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.