In Georgia's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus reflects a tight contest driven by a March Z to A Research poll showing incumbent U.S. Rep. David Scott at 31% and state Rep. Jasmine Clark tied nearby at 30%, with the fragmented field—featuring Everton Blair Jr. at 6% in the poll but higher in markets amid strong Q4 2025 fundraising—keeping no candidate above 37%. Scott's long incumbency since 2003 provides name recognition in this Solid Democratic (D+21) majority-Black district, but challengers capitalize on his age (80) and voter calls for fresh leadership post-qualifying deadline March 6. Separation could arise from key endorsements (e.g., Blair's recent state senate backer), new polls, Q1 finance reports, or debates before early voting, potentially forcing a June 16 runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourGA-13 Democratic Primary Winner
GA-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Jasmine Clark 38%
David Scott 25%
Pierre Whatley 16.8%
Everton Blair Jr. 15%
Jasmine Clark
38%
David Scott
28%
Pierre Whatley
17%
Everton Blair Jr.
15%
Emanuel Jones
2%
Jeffree Fauntleroy Sr.
2%
Joe Lester
2%
Heavenly Kimes
2%
Jasmine Clark 38%
David Scott 25%
Pierre Whatley 16.8%
Everton Blair Jr. 15%
Jasmine Clark
38%
David Scott
28%
Pierre Whatley
17%
Everton Blair Jr.
15%
Emanuel Jones
2%
Jeffree Fauntleroy Sr.
2%
Joe Lester
2%
Heavenly Kimes
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Georgia's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus reflects a tight contest driven by a March Z to A Research poll showing incumbent U.S. Rep. David Scott at 31% and state Rep. Jasmine Clark tied nearby at 30%, with the fragmented field—featuring Everton Blair Jr. at 6% in the poll but higher in markets amid strong Q4 2025 fundraising—keeping no candidate above 37%. Scott's long incumbency since 2003 provides name recognition in this Solid Democratic (D+21) majority-Black district, but challengers capitalize on his age (80) and voter calls for fresh leadership post-qualifying deadline March 6. Separation could arise from key endorsements (e.g., Blair's recent state senate backer), new polls, Q1 finance reports, or debates before early voting, potentially forcing a June 16 runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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