Market icon
Élections·Élections Du 4 Novembre

Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-13

Market icon
Élections·Élections Du 4 Novembre

Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-13

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Parti démocrate

$0 Vol.

46%

Parti républicain

$0 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus slightly favors the Republican Party at 52.5% for Florida's 13th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's reelection strengths in a district rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, bolstered by her substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million and the area's partisan voting index lean. Democrats, viewing FL-13 as their top pickup target in Florida, have recruited challengers including Leela Gray, who launched her bid in early February 2026, keeping the race competitive at 42% implied probability. No major polling exists yet in this early cycle, with Florida's closed primaries set for August 18 and the general election November 3; statewide surveys highlight affordability concerns favoring Republicans generically. Recent controversy over Luna hosting a Russian legislative delegation has sparked criticism but not shifted odds significantly.

Trader consensus slightly favors the Republican Party at 52.5% for Florida's 13th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's reelection strengths in a district rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, bolstered by her substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million and the area's partisan voting index lean. Democrats, viewing FL-13 as their top pickup target in Florida, have recruited challengers including Leela Gray, who launched her bid in early February 2026, keeping the race competitive at 42% implied probability. No major polling exists yet in this early cycle, with Florida's closed primaries set for August 18 and the general election November 3; statewide surveys highlight affordability concerns favoring Republicans generically. Recent controversy over Luna hosting a Russian legislative delegation has sparked criticism but not shifted odds significantly.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus slightly favors the Republican Party at 52.5% for Florida's 13th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's reelection strengths in a district rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, bolstered by her substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million and the area's partisan voting index lean. Democrats, viewing FL-13 as their top pickup target in Florida, have recruited challengers including Leela Gray, who launched her bid in early February 2026, keeping the race competitive at 42% implied probability. No major polling exists yet in this early cycle, with Florida's closed primaries set for August 18 and the general election November 3; statewide surveys highlight affordability concerns favoring Republicans generically. Recent controversy over Luna hosting a Russian legislative delegation has sparked criticism but not shifted odds significantly.

Trader consensus slightly favors the Republican Party at 52.5% for Florida's 13th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's reelection strengths in a district rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, bolstered by her substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million and the area's partisan voting index lean. Democrats, viewing FL-13 as their top pickup target in Florida, have recruited challengers including Leela Gray, who launched her bid in early February 2026, keeping the race competitive at 42% implied probability. No major polling exists yet in this early cycle, with Florida's closed primaries set for August 18 and the general election November 3; statewide surveys highlight affordability concerns favoring Republicans generically. Recent controversy over Luna hosting a Russian legislative delegation has sparked criticism but not shifted odds significantly.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-13 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Parti républicain » à 52%, suivi de « Parti démocrate » à 46%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 52¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 52% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-13 » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Dec 16, 2025. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-13 », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-13 » est « Parti républicain » à 52%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 52% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Parti démocrate » à 46%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-13 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.