Anna Paulina Luna holds a clear lead in the FL-13 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+6 partisan voter index, where she previously won by roughly nine points. Leela Gray, the Democratic nominee and retired Army brigadier general, has narrowed the contest through strong third-quarter fundraising exceeding $1.4 million and multiple late-September and early-October ratings shifts from Likely Republican to Lean Republican by outlets including Inside Elections and others. A single Democratic-sponsored poll from late August showed Gray narrowly ahead, while partisan surveys from both sides indicated tighter or Luna-favorable margins. Traders price Luna at 72.5% amid the district's structural Republican tilt and her established name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election, even as Gray's campaign emphasizes affordability and oversight themes.