Premier membre du cabinet Trump d'ici la fin de 2026 ? (Duplicata)
Premier membre du cabinet Trump d'ici la fin de 2026 ? (Duplicata)
Stephen Miran 100.0%
J.D. Vance <1%
Marco Rubio <1%
Scott Bessent <1%
$73,073 Vol.
$73,073 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
J.D. Vance
Non
Marco Rubio
Non
Scott Bessent
Non
Pete Hegseth
Non
Pam Bondi
Non
Doug Burgum
Non
Brooke Rollins
Non
Howard Lutnick
Non
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Non
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Non
Scott Turner
Non
Sean Duffy
Non
Chris Wright
Non
Linda McMahon
Non
Doug Collins
Non
Kristi Noem
Non
Lee Zeldin
Non
Susie Wiles
Non
Tulsi Gabbard
Non
Russell T. Vought
Non
John Ratcliffe
Non
Jamieson Greer
Non
Mike Waltz
Non
Stephen Miran
Oui
Kelly Loeffler
Non
Stephen Miran 100.0%
J.D. Vance <1%
Marco Rubio <1%
Scott Bessent <1%
$73,073 Vol.
$73,073 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
J.D. Vance
$1,953 Vol.
Non
Marco Rubio
$3,896 Vol.
Non
Scott Bessent
$3,724 Vol.
Non
Pete Hegseth
$3,865 Vol.
Non
Pam Bondi
$4,551 Vol.
Non
Doug Burgum
$2,028 Vol.
Non
Brooke Rollins
$2,726 Vol.
Non
Howard Lutnick
$2,028 Vol.
Non
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$2,766 Vol.
Non
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$2,833 Vol.
Non
Scott Turner
$1,543 Vol.
Non
Sean Duffy
$1,781 Vol.
Non
Chris Wright
$3,135 Vol.
Non
Linda McMahon
$1,417 Vol.
Non
Doug Collins
$1,718 Vol.
Non
Kristi Noem
$4,869 Vol.
Non
Lee Zeldin
$827 Vol.
Non
Susie Wiles
$3,097 Vol.
Non
Tulsi Gabbard
$3,392 Vol.
Non
Russell T. Vought
$1,949 Vol.
Non
John Ratcliffe
$1,918 Vol.
Non
Jamieson Greer
$2,203 Vol.
Non
Mike Waltz
$8,969 Vol.
Non
Stephen Miran
$3,506 Vol.
Oui
Kelly Loeffler
$2,235 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the next listed individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration.
If none of the listed individuals leave between December 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
A listed individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the next listed individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration.
If none of the listed individuals leave between December 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
A listed individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If none of the listed individuals leave between December 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
A listed individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$73,073Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
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