Germany's implied 72.5% probability to win Group E stems from their superior technical depth, high-pressing 4-2-3-1 under Julian Nagelsmann, and dominant recent form including Nations League triumphs over France and friendlies against Netherlands, positioning them as clear favorites despite four-time champion pedigree and Winston-Salem training camp precision. Ecuador's 17.5% reflects resilient CONMEBOL qualifiers like victories over Colombia and Argentina, bolstered by Moisés Caicedo’s midfield steel and Enner Valencia’s finishing in Colorado altitude sessions. Ivory Coast at 10.8% gains from Sébastien Haller’s full fitness recovery and counter-attacking threat shown in CAF wins versus Senegal and Morocco, amid minor fitness concerns at Philadelphia camp. Curaçao trails at 0.7% as debutants relying on set-piece upsets from CONCACAF play-offs against Panama and Jamaica. Yesterday's bombshell Serge Gnabry adductor tear ruling him out entirely slightly tempers Germany's edge without shifting trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA, groupe E
Vainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA, groupe E
Allemagne 73%
Équateur 18%
Côte d'Ivoire 10.8%
Curaçao <1%
$33,419 Vol.
$33,419 Vol.
Allemagne
73%
Équateur
18%
Côte d'Ivoire
11%
Curaçao
1%
Allemagne 73%
Équateur 18%
Côte d'Ivoire 10.8%
Curaçao <1%
$33,419 Vol.
$33,419 Vol.
Allemagne
73%
Équateur
18%
Côte d'Ivoire
11%
Curaçao
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Germany's implied 72.5% probability to win Group E stems from their superior technical depth, high-pressing 4-2-3-1 under Julian Nagelsmann, and dominant recent form including Nations League triumphs over France and friendlies against Netherlands, positioning them as clear favorites despite four-time champion pedigree and Winston-Salem training camp precision. Ecuador's 17.5% reflects resilient CONMEBOL qualifiers like victories over Colombia and Argentina, bolstered by Moisés Caicedo’s midfield steel and Enner Valencia’s finishing in Colorado altitude sessions. Ivory Coast at 10.8% gains from Sébastien Haller’s full fitness recovery and counter-attacking threat shown in CAF wins versus Senegal and Morocco, amid minor fitness concerns at Philadelphia camp. Curaçao trails at 0.7% as debutants relying on set-piece upsets from CONCACAF play-offs against Panama and Jamaica. Yesterday's bombshell Serge Gnabry adductor tear ruling him out entirely slightly tempers Germany's edge without shifting trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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