Trader consensus prices Germany at a 75% implied probability to top Group E, driven by their elite UEFA pedigree, Julian Nagelsmann's tactical setup, and a commanding 4-3 friendly win over Switzerland on March 27 that highlighted Musiala and Wirtz's attacking threat amid a Nations League title defense. Ecuador's 18.5% share stems from their gritty CONMEBOL qualifiers—finishing second behind Brazil—and a resilient 1-1 draw versus Morocco in the same window, underscoring Félix Sánchez Bas's defensive organization against potent attacks. Ivory Coast lingers at 7% on lingering AFCON 2025 momentum but trails due to inconsistent CAF form; Curaçao's 0.5% reflects debutant limitations exposed in a 0-2 friendly loss to China. No key injuries mar rosters as teams finalize prep for neutral-site matches starting June 14.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA, groupe E
Vainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA, groupe E
Allemagne 75%
Équateur 19%
Côte d'Ivoire 7.0%
Curaçao <1%
$17,468 Vol.
$17,468 Vol.
Allemagne
75%
Équateur
19%
Côte d'Ivoire
7%
Curaçao
1%
Allemagne 75%
Équateur 19%
Côte d'Ivoire 7.0%
Curaçao <1%
$17,468 Vol.
$17,468 Vol.
Allemagne
75%
Équateur
19%
Côte d'Ivoire
7%
Curaçao
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Germany at a 75% implied probability to top Group E, driven by their elite UEFA pedigree, Julian Nagelsmann's tactical setup, and a commanding 4-3 friendly win over Switzerland on March 27 that highlighted Musiala and Wirtz's attacking threat amid a Nations League title defense. Ecuador's 18.5% share stems from their gritty CONMEBOL qualifiers—finishing second behind Brazil—and a resilient 1-1 draw versus Morocco in the same window, underscoring Félix Sánchez Bas's defensive organization against potent attacks. Ivory Coast lingers at 7% on lingering AFCON 2025 momentum but trails due to inconsistent CAF form; Curaçao's 0.5% reflects debutant limitations exposed in a 0-2 friendly loss to China. No key injuries mar rosters as teams finalize prep for neutral-site matches starting June 14.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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