Trader consensus favors Ukraine at 43.5% implied probability in this neutral-venue international friendly at Estadi Ciutat de València, driven by their dominant head-to-head record—unbeaten in the last five meetings, including a 4-1 win over Albania in November 2024—and higher FIFA ranking around 25th versus Albania's mid-60s position. Recent World Cup qualifiers on March 26 shaped sentiment: Ukraine fell 1-3 to Sweden in promotion playoffs amid mixed form (three losses in last six), while Albania secured a morale-boosting 2-1 upset over Poland but enters depleted by injuries to striker Ernest Muçi, defender Arlind Ajeti (shoulder), and midfielder Ylber Ramadani (personal reasons), alongside defender Maksym Taloverov sidelined for Ukraine. The draw and Albania outcomes at 28.5% each reflect the closely contested matchup in a low-stakes friendly.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Ukraine wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 30, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Ukraine wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 30, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Ukraine at 43.5% implied probability in this neutral-venue international friendly at Estadi Ciutat de València, driven by their dominant head-to-head record—unbeaten in the last five meetings, including a 4-1 win over Albania in November 2024—and higher FIFA ranking around 25th versus Albania's mid-60s position. Recent World Cup qualifiers on March 26 shaped sentiment: Ukraine fell 1-3 to Sweden in promotion playoffs amid mixed form (three losses in last six), while Albania secured a morale-boosting 2-1 upset over Poland but enters depleted by injuries to striker Ernest Muçi, defender Arlind Ajeti (shoulder), and midfielder Ylber Ramadani (personal reasons), alongside defender Maksym Taloverov sidelined for Ukraine. The draw and Albania outcomes at 28.5% each reflect the closely contested matchup in a low-stakes friendly.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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