Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?

<1% chance

$89,973 Vol.

Règles

On September 9, there was a fire on one of the ships included in the Global Sumud Flotilla delivering aid to Gaza. For more information, please visit: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cly67g7pdlko.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the September 9 fire was caused by a drone operated under the authority of the Israeli government/military. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Statements from the Israeli government claiming responsibility for the incident will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, with priority given to official statements from relevant investigative agencies.
Volume
$89,973
Date de fin
Sep 30, 2025
Créé le
Sep 9, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?

<1% chance

$89,973 Vol.

À propos

On September 9, there was a fire on one of the ships included in the Global Sumud Flotilla delivering aid to Gaza. For more information, please visit: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cly67g7pdlko.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the September 9 fire was caused by a drone operated under the authority of the Israeli government/military. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Statements from the Israeli government claiming responsibility for the incident will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, with priority given to official statements from relevant investigative agencies.
Volume
$89,973
Date de fin
Sep 30, 2025
Créé le
Sep 9, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.