George Russell leads trader consensus at 59% implied probability to win the Japanese Grand Prix at Suzuka, driven by Mercedes' historical edge on the high-downforce track and his consistent top finishes there, bolstered by the team's 2025 lineup stability. Rookie sensation Andrea Kimi Antonelli follows at 20.5% following his blockbuster signing as Hamilton's replacement, with bettors eyeing a youthful Mercedes 1-2 potential amid strong pre-season buzz. Charles Leclerc's 8% reflects Ferrari's solid Suzuka record, while Lewis Hamilton slips to 6.5% post-Ferrari switch. Max Verstappen's 2.7% underscores doubts over Red Bull's recent qualifying woes and intra-team tensions, shifting sentiment toward Mercedes dominance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourGeorge Russell 59%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 21%
Charles Leclerc 8%
Lewis Hamilton 7%
$557,455 Vol.
$557,455 Vol.
George Russell
59%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
21%
Charles Leclerc
8%
Lewis Hamilton
7%
Max Verstappen
3%
Lando Norris
2%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
George Russell 59%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 21%
Charles Leclerc 8%
Lewis Hamilton 7%
$557,455 Vol.
$557,455 Vol.
George Russell
59%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
21%
Charles Leclerc
8%
Lewis Hamilton
7%
Max Verstappen
3%
Lando Norris
2%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...George Russell leads trader consensus at 59% implied probability to win the Japanese Grand Prix at Suzuka, driven by Mercedes' historical edge on the high-downforce track and his consistent top finishes there, bolstered by the team's 2025 lineup stability. Rookie sensation Andrea Kimi Antonelli follows at 20.5% following his blockbuster signing as Hamilton's replacement, with bettors eyeing a youthful Mercedes 1-2 potential amid strong pre-season buzz. Charles Leclerc's 8% reflects Ferrari's solid Suzuka record, while Lewis Hamilton slips to 6.5% post-Ferrari switch. Max Verstappen's 2.7% underscores doubts over Red Bull's recent qualifying woes and intra-team tensions, shifting sentiment toward Mercedes dominance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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