Mercedes dominates trader consensus at 66% for the Japanese Grand Prix constructor win after George Russell's commanding FP2 pace at Suzuka, edging Max Verstappen and signaling strong tire life and setup on the high-speed layout. Ferrari trails at 33% on Charles Leclerc's consistent top-three runs across sessions and recent upgrades boosting straightline speed, positioning them as the primary challenger. Lower odds for Red Bull (7%) reflect Perez's qualifying struggles despite Verstappen's FP1/FP3 benchmarks, while McLaren (6%) fades amid Norris/Piastri's mid-pack Friday form. Cool track conditions and Mercedes' historical Suzuka resurgence have amplified this sentiment shift ahead of qualifying.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMercedes 66%
Ferrari 43%
Racing Bulls 18%
Tgr Haas 17%
Mercedes
66%
Ferrari
33%
Racing Bulls
18%
Tgr Haas
17%
Alpine
16%
Audi Revolut
11%
Red Bull
7%
Mclaren Mastercard
6%
Cadillac
4%
Williams
1%
Aston Martin
1%
Mercedes 66%
Ferrari 43%
Racing Bulls 18%
Tgr Haas 17%
Mercedes
66%
Ferrari
33%
Racing Bulls
18%
Tgr Haas
17%
Alpine
16%
Audi Revolut
11%
Red Bull
7%
Mclaren Mastercard
6%
Cadillac
4%
Williams
1%
Aston Martin
1%
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Marché ouvert : Mar 11, 2026, 8:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes dominates trader consensus at 66% for the Japanese Grand Prix constructor win after George Russell's commanding FP2 pace at Suzuka, edging Max Verstappen and signaling strong tire life and setup on the high-speed layout. Ferrari trails at 33% on Charles Leclerc's consistent top-three runs across sessions and recent upgrades boosting straightline speed, positioning them as the primary challenger. Lower odds for Red Bull (7%) reflect Perez's qualifying struggles despite Verstappen's FP1/FP3 benchmarks, while McLaren (6%) fades amid Norris/Piastri's mid-pack Friday form. Cool track conditions and Mercedes' historical Suzuka resurgence have amplified this sentiment shift ahead of qualifying.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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