December 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.25-1.29 100.0%
<1.20 <1%
1.20-1.24 <1%
1.30-1.34 <1%
$2,545,902 Vol.
$2,545,902 Vol.
Dec 31, 2024
<1.20
$545,716 Vol.
No
<1.20
$545,716 Vol.
No
1.20-1.24
$500,998 Vol.
No
1.20-1.24
$500,998 Vol.
No
1.25-1.29
$458,426 Vol.
Yes
1.25-1.29
$458,426 Vol.
Yes
1.30-1.34
$618,869 Vol.
No
1.30-1.34
$618,869 Vol.
No
>1.34
$421,893 Vol.
No
>1.34
$421,893 Vol.
No
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.20°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for December 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for December 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for December 2024 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for December 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for December 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for December 2024 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Créé le : Dec 2, 2024, 6:13 PM ET
Volume
$2,545,902Date de fin
Dec 31, 2024Créé le
Dec 2, 2024, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
December 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.25-1.29 100.0%
<1.20 <1%
1.20-1.24 <1%
1.30-1.34 <1%
$2,545,902 Vol.
$2,545,902 Vol.
Dec 31, 2024
<1.20
$545,716 Vol.
No
1.20-1.24
$500,998 Vol.
No
1.25-1.29
$458,426 Vol.
Yes
1.30-1.34
$618,869 Vol.
No
>1.34
$421,893 Vol.
No
À propos
Volume
$2,545,902Date de fin
Dec 31, 2024Créé le
Dec 2, 2024, 6:13 PM ETResolver
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