Anthropic's official release of Claude Opus 4.7 today, April 16, solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "on or prior to April 16," as the large language model is now live on Claude.ai, the Anthropic API, Amazon Bedrock, and Google Vertex AI with key upgrades including over 3x higher vision resolution, a new "xhigh" effort level for complex tasks, 1M-token context window, and automatic cyber safeguards. Preceding reports from The Information and codebase leaks signaled an imminent drop this week, driving early positioning, while extensive safety evaluations met Anthropic's rigorous standards. Barring an unprecedented rollback due to undisclosed issues—highly unlikely given multi-platform deployment—resolution appears certain, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating real-time AI deployment signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe ou avant le 16 avril 100.0%
17 avril <1%
18 avril <1%
19 avril <1%
$330,392 Vol.
$330,392 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
Le ou avant le 16 avril
Oui
17 avril
Non
18 avril
Non
19 avril
Non
20 avril
Non
21 avril
Non
22 avril
Non
23 avril
Non
24 avril
Non
25 avril
Non
26 avril
Non
27 avril
Non
28 avril
Non
29 avril
Non
30 avril
Non
Non publié avant le 30 avril
Non
Le ou avant le 16 avril 100.0%
17 avril <1%
18 avril <1%
19 avril <1%
$330,392 Vol.
$330,392 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
Le ou avant le 16 avril
$171,584 Vol.
Oui
17 avril
$22,254 Vol.
Non
18 avril
$15,199 Vol.
Non
19 avril
$8,993 Vol.
Non
20 avril
$7,985 Vol.
Non
21 avril
$9,387 Vol.
Non
22 avril
$4,823 Vol.
Non
23 avril
$4,910 Vol.
Non
24 avril
$4,639 Vol.
Non
25 avril
$4,164 Vol.
Non
26 avril
$4,620 Vol.
Non
27 avril
$4,838 Vol.
Non
28 avril
$4,249 Vol.
Non
29 avril
$4,045 Vol.
Non
30 avril
$3,681 Vol.
Non
Non publié avant le 30 avril
$55,022 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's official release of Claude Opus 4.7 today, April 16, solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "on or prior to April 16," as the large language model is now live on Claude.ai, the Anthropic API, Amazon Bedrock, and Google Vertex AI with key upgrades including over 3x higher vision resolution, a new "xhigh" effort level for complex tasks, 1M-token context window, and automatic cyber safeguards. Preceding reports from The Information and codebase leaks signaled an imminent drop this week, driving early positioning, while extensive safety evaluations met Anthropic's rigorous standards. Barring an unprecedented rollback due to undisclosed issues—highly unlikely given multi-platform deployment—resolution appears certain, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating real-time AI deployment signals.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Volume
$330,392Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's official release of Claude Opus 4.7 today, April 16, solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "on or prior to April 16," as the large language model is now live on Claude.ai, the Anthropic API, Amazon Bedrock, and Google Vertex AI with key upgrades including over 3x higher vision resolution, a new "xhigh" effort level for complex tasks, 1M-token context window, and automatic cyber safeguards. Preceding reports from The Information and codebase leaks signaled an imminent drop this week, driving early positioning, while extensive safety evaluations met Anthropic's rigorous standards. Barring an unprecedented rollback due to undisclosed issues—highly unlikely given multi-platform deployment—resolution appears certain, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating real-time AI deployment signals.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$330,392Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Anthropic's official release of Claude Opus 4.7 today, April 16, solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "on or prior to April 16," as the large language model is now live on Claude.ai, the Anthropic API, Amazon Bedrock, and Google Vertex AI with key upgrades including over 3x higher vision resolution, a new "xhigh" effort level for complex tasks, 1M-token context window, and automatic cyber safeguards. Preceding reports from The Information and codebase leaks signaled an imminent drop this week, driving early positioning, while extensive safety evaluations met Anthropic's rigorous standards. Barring an unprecedented rollback due to undisclosed issues—highly unlikely given multi-platform deployment—resolution appears certain, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating real-time AI deployment signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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