Geopolitical supply disruptions from Middle East conflicts, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of crude oil prices as of late May 2026. Recent EIA forecasts project Brent crude averaging around $106 per barrel through June amid sharp inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, with WTI futures trading near $99 on May 21. These tight conditions stem from roughly 10.5 million barrels per day of shut-in production across key Gulf producers, outweighing softer global demand growth. Traders are monitoring potential gradual resumption of Hormuz shipments in June, the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting, and any further U.S.-Iran diplomatic signals that could ease restrictions. While elevated prices reflect immediate physical shortages, markets also price in risks of faster supply recovery later in the quarter.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÀ quoi le pétrole brut (CL) se stabilisera-t-il en juin ?
À quoi le pétrole brut (CL) se stabilisera-t-il en juin ?
>84 $ 72%
77 $–84 $ 16%
70 $ - 77 $ 5.8%
63 $-70 $ 1.0%
$193,678 Vol.
$193,678 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<42 $
<1%
42 $-49 $
<1%
49 $–56 $
1%
56 $-63 $
1%
63 $-70 $
1%
70 $ - 77 $
6%
77 $–84 $
16%
>84 $
72%
>84 $ 72%
77 $–84 $ 16%
70 $ - 77 $ 5.8%
63 $-70 $ 1.0%
$193,678 Vol.
$193,678 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<42 $
$20,386 Vol.
<1%
42 $-49 $
$9,599 Vol.
<1%
49 $–56 $
$11,385 Vol.
1%
56 $-63 $
$10,885 Vol.
1%
63 $-70 $
$25,053 Vol.
1%
70 $ - 77 $
$15,329 Vol.
6%
77 $–84 $
$16,764 Vol.
16%
>84 $
$84,277 Vol.
72%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from Middle East conflicts, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of crude oil prices as of late May 2026. Recent EIA forecasts project Brent crude averaging around $106 per barrel through June amid sharp inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, with WTI futures trading near $99 on May 21. These tight conditions stem from roughly 10.5 million barrels per day of shut-in production across key Gulf producers, outweighing softer global demand growth. Traders are monitoring potential gradual resumption of Hormuz shipments in June, the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting, and any further U.S.-Iran diplomatic signals that could ease restrictions. While elevated prices reflect immediate physical shortages, markets also price in risks of faster supply recovery later in the quarter.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volume
$193,678Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from Middle East conflicts, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of crude oil prices as of late May 2026. Recent EIA forecasts project Brent crude averaging around $106 per barrel through June amid sharp inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, with WTI futures trading near $99 on May 21. These tight conditions stem from roughly 10.5 million barrels per day of shut-in production across key Gulf producers, outweighing softer global demand growth. Traders are monitoring potential gradual resumption of Hormuz shipments in June, the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting, and any further U.S.-Iran diplomatic signals that could ease restrictions. While elevated prices reflect immediate physical shortages, markets also price in risks of faster supply recovery later in the quarter.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$193,678Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Geopolitical supply disruptions from Middle East conflicts, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of crude oil prices as of late May 2026. Recent EIA forecasts project Brent crude averaging around $106 per barrel through June amid sharp inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, with WTI futures trading near $99 on May 21. These tight conditions stem from roughly 10.5 million barrels per day of shut-in production across key Gulf producers, outweighing softer global demand growth. Traders are monitoring potential gradual resumption of Hormuz shipments in June, the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting, and any further U.S.-Iran diplomatic signals that could ease restrictions. While elevated prices reflect immediate physical shortages, markets also price in risks of faster supply recovery later in the quarter.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes