Trader consensus prices Andrey Esipenko as the slight favorite at 47.5% implied probability to win Round 5 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open despite facing Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu with Black pieces, reflecting Pragg's shaky recent form after a shocking Round 3 blunder under time pressure squandered a winning position against sole leader Javokhir Sindarov (3.5/4), leaving the Indian at 2/4 points alongside a modest draw versus Matthias Bluebaum in Round 4. Esipenko, rated lower at 2698 Elo and sitting on 1/4 following losses to Sindarov and Anish Giri plus draws against Hikaru Nakamura and Bluebaum, has demonstrated resilience in holding elite opposition, fueling bets on his preparation edge in this double round-robin clash where head-to-head history shows balanced results with multiple draws. The 35% draw probability underscores the matchup's tension in classical time controls.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Andrey Esipenko as the slight favorite at 47.5% implied probability to win Round 5 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open despite facing Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu with Black pieces, reflecting Pragg's shaky recent form after a shocking Round 3 blunder under time pressure squandered a winning position against sole leader Javokhir Sindarov (3.5/4), leaving the Indian at 2/4 points alongside a modest draw versus Matthias Bluebaum in Round 4. Esipenko, rated lower at 2698 Elo and sitting on 1/4 following losses to Sindarov and Anish Giri plus draws against Hikaru Nakamura and Bluebaum, has demonstrated resilience in holding elite opposition, fueling bets on his preparation edge in this double round-robin clash where head-to-head history shows balanced results with multiple draws. The 35% draw probability underscores the matchup's tension in classical time controls.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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