Trader consensus prices a draw at 68% for Round 4 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open between Matthias Bluebaum (white) and Praggnanandhaa R, underscoring the deep preparation and middlegame solidity typical of elite classical chess at this level. Praggnanandhaa's 20% edge over Bluebaum's 16% aligns with his superior 2741 rating versus 2698, bolstered by a Round 1 upset win over Anish Giri, though his Round 3 blunder—ceding a piece sacrifice to Javokhir Sindarov—dropped him to 1.5/3 and dented momentum. Bluebaum remains steady at 1.5/3 with draws against Wei Yi and Andrey Esipenko, plus a key 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss victory over Pragg as white, fueling upset potential amid the tight leaderboard chase behind leaders Caruana and Sindarov (2.5/3).
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 31, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 31, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a draw at 68% for Round 4 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open between Matthias Bluebaum (white) and Praggnanandhaa R, underscoring the deep preparation and middlegame solidity typical of elite classical chess at this level. Praggnanandhaa's 20% edge over Bluebaum's 16% aligns with his superior 2741 rating versus 2698, bolstered by a Round 1 upset win over Anish Giri, though his Round 3 blunder—ceding a piece sacrifice to Javokhir Sindarov—dropped him to 1.5/3 and dented momentum. Bluebaum remains steady at 1.5/3 with draws against Wei Yi and Andrey Esipenko, plus a key 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss victory over Pragg as white, fueling upset potential amid the tight leaderboard chase behind leaders Caruana and Sindarov (2.5/3).
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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