Trader consensus favors a draw at 68.5% implied probability in Anish Giri vs. Wei Yi from FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 5, reflecting the classical time control's tendency for solid equalization at elite levels, where both grandmasters boast draw-heavy profiles—Giri at 50.5% historically. Giri, with white and at 2/4 after his momentum-shifting Round 4 Najdorf win over Esipenko (his first victory post-Round 1 loss to Praggnanandhaa), edges ahead at 21.5%, buoyed by superior rating (2753) and recent king walk precision. Wei Yi, steady at 1.5/4 with draws against Bluebaum and Nakamura but a Round 3 blunder loss to Caruana, trails at 11.5% as the lower-rated challenger facing Giri's preparation depth. No withdrawals or external factors noted.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Anish Giri wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Anish Giri wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a draw at 68.5% implied probability in Anish Giri vs. Wei Yi from FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 5, reflecting the classical time control's tendency for solid equalization at elite levels, where both grandmasters boast draw-heavy profiles—Giri at 50.5% historically. Giri, with white and at 2/4 after his momentum-shifting Round 4 Najdorf win over Esipenko (his first victory post-Round 1 loss to Praggnanandhaa), edges ahead at 21.5%, buoyed by superior rating (2753) and recent king walk precision. Wei Yi, steady at 1.5/4 with draws against Bluebaum and Nakamura but a Round 3 blunder loss to Caruana, trails at 11.5% as the lower-rated challenger facing Giri's preparation depth. No withdrawals or external factors noted.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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